Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS and ECMWF converge on a high near 20–21°C in Wuhan on May 2, driving trader consensus with 30.5% implied probability for 20°C, closely trailed by 21°C (24.5%) and 19°C (22.5%). Persistent cloud cover and moderate rain from an incoming frontal system limit diurnal heating, capping temperatures below early May climatological averages of 24–26°C. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread on exact precipitation timing and cloud thickness, which could shave 1–2°C off peaks if showers intensify early. Traders await updated CMA bulletins and fresh model runs overnight, as short-range guidance often refines 48-hour outlooks amid inherent weather uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 2?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 2?
20°C 34%
21°C 32%
19°C 23%
18°C 8%
NEW
NEW
May 2, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
8%
19°C
23%
20°C
34%
21°C
32%
22°C
5%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
1%
20°C 34%
21°C 32%
19°C 23%
18°C 8%
NEW
NEW
May 2, 2026
14°C or below
$698 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$788 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$925 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$120 Vol.
3%
18°C
$232 Vol.
8%
19°C
$227 Vol.
23%
20°C
$310 Vol.
34%
21°C
$77 Vol.
32%
22°C
$412 Vol.
5%
23°C
$310 Vol.
3%
24°C or higher
$453 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS and ECMWF converge on a high near 20–21°C in Wuhan on May 2, driving trader consensus with 30.5% implied probability for 20°C, closely trailed by 21°C (24.5%) and 19°C (22.5%). Persistent cloud cover and moderate rain from an incoming frontal system limit diurnal heating, capping temperatures below early May climatological averages of 24–26°C. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread on exact precipitation timing and cloud thickness, which could shave 1–2°C off peaks if showers intensify early. Traders await updated CMA bulletins and fresh model runs overnight, as short-range guidance often refines 48-hour outlooks amid inherent weather uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volume
$4,552End Date
May 2, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS and ECMWF converge on a high near 20–21°C in Wuhan on May 2, driving trader consensus with 30.5% implied probability for 20°C, closely trailed by 21°C (24.5%) and 19°C (22.5%). Persistent cloud cover and moderate rain from an incoming frontal system limit diurnal heating, capping temperatures below early May climatological averages of 24–26°C. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread on exact precipitation timing and cloud thickness, which could shave 1–2°C off peaks if showers intensify early. Traders await updated CMA bulletins and fresh model runs overnight, as short-range guidance often refines 48-hour outlooks amid inherent weather uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,552End Date
May 2, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS and ECMWF converge on a high near 20–21°C in Wuhan on May 2, driving trader consensus with 30.5% implied probability for 20°C, closely trailed by 21°C (24.5%) and 19°C (22.5%). Persistent cloud cover and moderate rain from an incoming frontal system limit diurnal heating, capping temperatures below early May climatological averages of 24–26°C. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread on exact precipitation timing and cloud thickness, which could shave 1–2°C off peaks if showers intensify early. Traders await updated CMA bulletins and fresh model runs overnight, as short-range guidance often refines 48-hour outlooks amid inherent weather uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions