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icon for Highest temperature in Karachi on May 4?

Highest temperature in Karachi on May 4?

icon for Highest temperature in Karachi on May 4?

Highest temperature in Karachi on May 4?

May 2

May 3

May 4

May 2

May 3

May 4

41°C or higher 60%

39°C 24.4%

40°C 13%

38°C 6.0%

Polymarket
NEW

41°C or higher 60%

39°C 24.4%

40°C 13%

38°C 6.0%

Polymarket
NEW

31°C or below

$28 Vol.

1%

32°C

$25 Vol.

1%

33°C

$25 Vol.

1%

34°C

$25 Vol.

1%

35°C

$25 Vol.

1%

36°C

$25 Vol.

4%

37°C

$15 Vol.

4%

38°C

$15 Vol.

6%

39°C

$155 Vol.

24%

40°C

$15 Vol.

24%

41°C or higher

$258 Vol.

60%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts indicate continued hot and dry conditions in Karachi through May 5, amid a mild heatwave extending from late April, with recent highs reaching 36-38°C on May 1-2. The National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) has issued a severe heatwave alert until May 5, warning of temperatures up to 38-40°C due to persistent high-pressure systems suppressing cloud cover and rainfall. Commercial models like AccuWeather project a high near 41°C (106°F) on May 4 under hazy, breezy skies, aligning with May's climatological peak averaging 35°C but amplified by anomalous warmth. While a westerly wave may bring isolated thunderstorms to eastern Sindh, core urban areas including Masroor Airbase—key for market resolution—face low precipitation risk. Traders should monitor daily PMD updates for intensification potential.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$611
End Date
May 4, 2026
Market Opened
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts indicate continued hot and dry conditions in Karachi through May 5, amid a mild heatwave extending from late April, with recent highs reaching 36-38°C on May 1-2. The National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) has issued a severe heatwave alert until May 5, warning of temperatures up to 38-40°C due to persistent high-pressure systems suppressing cloud cover and rainfall. Commercial models like AccuWeather project a high near 41°C (106°F) on May 4 under hazy, breezy skies, aligning with May's climatological peak averaging 35°C but amplified by anomalous warmth. While a westerly wave may bring isolated thunderstorms to eastern Sindh, core urban areas including Masroor Airbase—key for market resolution—face low precipitation risk. Traders should monitor daily PMD updates for intensification potential.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$611
End Date
May 4, 2026
Market Opened
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Karachi on May 4?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "41°C or higher" at 60%, followed by "39°C" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in Karachi on May 4?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Karachi on May 4?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Karachi on May 4?" is "41°C or higher" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "39°C" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Karachi on May 4?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.