Trader sentiment favors a 33–34°C high in Jakarta on May 18, as regional ensemble forecasts indicate stable tropical conditions with limited convective development and light easterly steering flow. Jakarta’s urban heat island, atop typical May transition-season climatology, reliably produces daytime maxima in this narrow band, consistent with historical surface observations showing average peaks near 32.5°C. Recent satellite-derived moisture profiles and boundary-layer data reveal no strong cooling signals from increased cloudiness or rainfall, keeping the two leading outcomes closely matched. Slight differences in model handling of local humidity could still shift the final reading, with official verification from Indonesia’s meteorological agency expected to resolve the market by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 18?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 18?
34°C 41%
33°C 31%
32°C 12%
35°C 7%
NEW
$13,594 Vol.
NEW
$13,594 Vol.
May 18, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
12%
33°C
31%
34°C
41%
35°C
7%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
34°C 41%
33°C 31%
32°C 12%
35°C 7%
NEW
$13,594 Vol.
NEW
$13,594 Vol.
May 18, 2026
27°C or below
$1,741 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$857 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,203 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$491 Vol.
1%
31°C
$2,428 Vol.
4%
32°C
$1,652 Vol.
12%
33°C
$659 Vol.
31%
34°C
$999 Vol.
41%
35°C
$1,997 Vol.
7%
36°C
$396 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$1,178 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment favors a 33–34°C high in Jakarta on May 18, as regional ensemble forecasts indicate stable tropical conditions with limited convective development and light easterly steering flow. Jakarta’s urban heat island, atop typical May transition-season climatology, reliably produces daytime maxima in this narrow band, consistent with historical surface observations showing average peaks near 32.5°C. Recent satellite-derived moisture profiles and boundary-layer data reveal no strong cooling signals from increased cloudiness or rainfall, keeping the two leading outcomes closely matched. Slight differences in model handling of local humidity could still shift the final reading, with official verification from Indonesia’s meteorological agency expected to resolve the market by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$13,594End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment favors a 33–34°C high in Jakarta on May 18, as regional ensemble forecasts indicate stable tropical conditions with limited convective development and light easterly steering flow. Jakarta’s urban heat island, atop typical May transition-season climatology, reliably produces daytime maxima in this narrow band, consistent with historical surface observations showing average peaks near 32.5°C. Recent satellite-derived moisture profiles and boundary-layer data reveal no strong cooling signals from increased cloudiness or rainfall, keeping the two leading outcomes closely matched. Slight differences in model handling of local humidity could still shift the final reading, with official verification from Indonesia’s meteorological agency expected to resolve the market by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,594End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHTrader sentiment favors a 33–34°C high in Jakarta on May 18, as regional ensemble forecasts indicate stable tropical conditions with limited convective development and light easterly steering flow. Jakarta’s urban heat island, atop typical May transition-season climatology, reliably produces daytime maxima in this narrow band, consistent with historical surface observations showing average peaks near 32.5°C. Recent satellite-derived moisture profiles and boundary-layer data reveal no strong cooling signals from increased cloudiness or rainfall, keeping the two leading outcomes closely matched. Slight differences in model handling of local humidity could still shift the final reading, with official verification from Indonesia’s meteorological agency expected to resolve the market by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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