Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston point to scattered thunderstorms and increasing cloud cover on June 6, driven by sea-breeze convergence and atmospheric instability typical of early June along the upper Texas coast. These conditions are expected to limit afternoon heating, keeping daily maximum temperatures in the mid-80s Fahrenheit range consistent with recent model runs showing highs near 84–88°F. This outlook aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 84–87°F outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of convective suppression versus the seasonal normal high of 91°F at Houston’s Intercontinental Airport. Updated short-range model guidance and real-time observations tomorrow morning represent the key variables that could shift the final recorded peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on June 6?
86-87°F 34%
84-85°F 30%
88-89°F 15%
82-83°F 13%
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
34%
88-89°F
15%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
2%
94°F or higher
1%
86-87°F 34%
84-85°F 30%
88-89°F 15%
82-83°F 13%
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
34%
88-89°F
15%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
2%
94°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston point to scattered thunderstorms and increasing cloud cover on June 6, driven by sea-breeze convergence and atmospheric instability typical of early June along the upper Texas coast. These conditions are expected to limit afternoon heating, keeping daily maximum temperatures in the mid-80s Fahrenheit range consistent with recent model runs showing highs near 84–88°F. This outlook aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 84–87°F outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of convective suppression versus the seasonal normal high of 91°F at Houston’s Intercontinental Airport. Updated short-range model guidance and real-time observations tomorrow morning represent the key variables that could shift the final recorded peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions