Current forecasts from major models and agencies point to a high of 84–85°F in Houston on June 5, supported by increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a moderating frontal influence that has lowered readings below the early-June normal of 91°F. These conditions have produced the tightest clustering of market-implied odds around the mid-80s range, with secondary probability on 82–83°F reflecting residual model spread in timing and intensity of any rain. Historical analogs for similar early-summer patterns show comparable suppression of peak temperatures when instability develops overnight. New NWS updates or afternoon observations could refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on June 5?
Highest temperature in Houston on June 5?
84-85°F 50%
86-87°F 23%
82-83°F 22%
88-89°F 3.1%
$18,049 Vol.
$18,049 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
50%
86-87°F
23%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 50%
86-87°F 23%
82-83°F 22%
88-89°F 3.1%
$18,049 Vol.
$18,049 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
73°F or below
$529 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$4,770 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,747 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$307 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,670 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$1,146 Vol.
22%
84-85°F
$1,654 Vol.
50%
86-87°F
$1,977 Vol.
23%
88-89°F
$2,204 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$1,130 Vol.
1%
92°F or higher
$918 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major models and agencies point to a high of 84–85°F in Houston on June 5, supported by increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a moderating frontal influence that has lowered readings below the early-June normal of 91°F. These conditions have produced the tightest clustering of market-implied odds around the mid-80s range, with secondary probability on 82–83°F reflecting residual model spread in timing and intensity of any rain. Historical analogs for similar early-summer patterns show comparable suppression of peak temperatures when instability develops overnight. New NWS updates or afternoon observations could refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Volume
$18,049End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:24 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major models and agencies point to a high of 84–85°F in Houston on June 5, supported by increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a moderating frontal influence that has lowered readings below the early-June normal of 91°F. These conditions have produced the tightest clustering of market-implied odds around the mid-80s range, with secondary probability on 82–83°F reflecting residual model spread in timing and intensity of any rain. Historical analogs for similar early-summer patterns show comparable suppression of peak temperatures when instability develops overnight. New NWS updates or afternoon observations could refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,049End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:24 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from major models and agencies point to a high of 84–85°F in Houston on June 5, supported by increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a moderating frontal influence that has lowered readings below the early-June normal of 91°F. These conditions have produced the tightest clustering of market-implied odds around the mid-80s range, with secondary probability on 82–83°F reflecting residual model spread in timing and intensity of any rain. Historical analogs for similar early-summer patterns show comparable suppression of peak temperatures when instability develops overnight. New NWS updates or afternoon observations could refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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