Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Austin on June 6 points to highs near 86–88°F amid scattered thunderstorm chances that could cap afternoon heating through cloud cover and outflow boundaries. This distribution of market-implied odds around the mid- to upper-80s reflects uncertainty in timing and coverage of convection, with drier southerly flow or delayed storms potentially allowing a brief push into the low 90s. Variables such as dew-point advection, boundary-layer mixing, and exact storm initiation time remain key, while climatological early-June baselines near 90°F provide context for the current spread. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on June 6?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 6?
86-87°F 34%
88-89°F 34%
90-91°F 14%
84-85°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Jun 6, 2026
77°F or below
1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
34%
88-89°F
34%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
1%
96°F or higher
1%
86-87°F 34%
88-89°F 34%
90-91°F 14%
84-85°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Jun 6, 2026
77°F or below
$0 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$31 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$85 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$110 Vol.
5%
84-85°F
$96 Vol.
11%
86-87°F
$43 Vol.
34%
88-89°F
$55 Vol.
34%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
14%
92-93°F
$137 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$124 Vol.
1%
96°F or higher
$72 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Austin on June 6 points to highs near 86–88°F amid scattered thunderstorm chances that could cap afternoon heating through cloud cover and outflow boundaries. This distribution of market-implied odds around the mid- to upper-80s reflects uncertainty in timing and coverage of convection, with drier southerly flow or delayed storms potentially allowing a brief push into the low 90s. Variables such as dew-point advection, boundary-layer mixing, and exact storm initiation time remain key, while climatological early-June baselines near 90°F provide context for the current spread. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Volume
$751End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Austin on June 6 points to highs near 86–88°F amid scattered thunderstorm chances that could cap afternoon heating through cloud cover and outflow boundaries. This distribution of market-implied odds around the mid- to upper-80s reflects uncertainty in timing and coverage of convection, with drier southerly flow or delayed storms potentially allowing a brief push into the low 90s. Variables such as dew-point advection, boundary-layer mixing, and exact storm initiation time remain key, while climatological early-June baselines near 90°F provide context for the current spread. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$751End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Austin on June 6 points to highs near 86–88°F amid scattered thunderstorm chances that could cap afternoon heating through cloud cover and outflow boundaries. This distribution of market-implied odds around the mid- to upper-80s reflects uncertainty in timing and coverage of convection, with drier southerly flow or delayed storms potentially allowing a brief push into the low 90s. Variables such as dew-point advection, boundary-layer mixing, and exact storm initiation time remain key, while climatological early-June baselines near 90°F provide context for the current spread. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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