Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources point to a June 5 high in Austin near 84–87°F, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southeasterly flow that limits afternoon heating compared with typical early-summer conditions. These factors align with the market’s leading 84–85°F band at 40.5% implied probability and the secondary 86–87°F outcome, reflecting trader assessment of modest instability and moisture that historically caps daily maxima several degrees below the June climatological average of 94°F. Updated model runs and official briefings expected later in the day could refine the exact peak before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on June 5?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 5?
84-85°F 44%
86-87°F 21%
82-83°F 19%
88°F or higher 9%
NEW
$17,981 Vol.
NEW
$17,981 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
44%
86-87°F
21%
88°F or higher
9%
84-85°F 44%
86-87°F 21%
82-83°F 19%
88°F or higher 9%
NEW
$17,981 Vol.
NEW
$17,981 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
69°F or below
$2,152 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$349 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$4,009 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,829 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$224 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$1,356 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$2,685 Vol.
7%
82-83°F
$1,297 Vol.
19%
84-85°F
$1,366 Vol.
44%
86-87°F
$1,420 Vol.
21%
88°F or higher
$1,405 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources point to a June 5 high in Austin near 84–87°F, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southeasterly flow that limits afternoon heating compared with typical early-summer conditions. These factors align with the market’s leading 84–85°F band at 40.5% implied probability and the secondary 86–87°F outcome, reflecting trader assessment of modest instability and moisture that historically caps daily maxima several degrees below the June climatological average of 94°F. Updated model runs and official briefings expected later in the day could refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$17,981End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources point to a June 5 high in Austin near 84–87°F, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southeasterly flow that limits afternoon heating compared with typical early-summer conditions. These factors align with the market’s leading 84–85°F band at 40.5% implied probability and the secondary 86–87°F outcome, reflecting trader assessment of modest instability and moisture that historically caps daily maxima several degrees below the June climatological average of 94°F. Updated model runs and official briefings expected later in the day could refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,981End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources point to a June 5 high in Austin near 84–87°F, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southeasterly flow that limits afternoon heating compared with typical early-summer conditions. These factors align with the market’s leading 84–85°F band at 40.5% implied probability and the secondary 86–87°F outcome, reflecting trader assessment of modest instability and moisture that historically caps daily maxima several degrees below the June climatological average of 94°F. Updated model runs and official briefings expected later in the day could refine the exact peak before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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