Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a Dallas high temperature settling in the 86-87°F range today, driven by southerly advection and partly cloudy conditions that promote moderate afternoon heating without strong capping inversions. This aligns with typical May climatology near Dallas Love Field, where the 1991-2020 average peaks around 85°F, and current atmospheric patterns show limited potential for significant deviation. Traders' near-certain consensus on the 86-87°F outcome reflects high confidence in these stable conditions, though minor model disagreements or unexpected sky clearance could allow a brief push above 87°F before evening cooling sets in. Resolution depends on the official daily maximum reported by the station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on May 17?
86-87°F 99.8%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
92°F or higher <1%
$62,206 Vol.
$62,206 Vol.
86-87°F
100%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 99.8%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
92°F or higher <1%
$62,206 Vol.
$62,206 Vol.
86-87°F
100%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALRecent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a Dallas high temperature settling in the 86-87°F range today, driven by southerly advection and partly cloudy conditions that promote moderate afternoon heating without strong capping inversions. This aligns with typical May climatology near Dallas Love Field, where the 1991-2020 average peaks around 85°F, and current atmospheric patterns show limited potential for significant deviation. Traders' near-certain consensus on the 86-87°F outcome reflects high confidence in these stable conditions, though minor model disagreements or unexpected sky clearance could allow a brief push above 87°F before evening cooling sets in. Resolution depends on the official daily maximum reported by the station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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