Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on May 19 project afternoon highs near 83–85°F under moderate southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and typical May humidity, with isolated thunderstorms possible later in the day. These conditions create narrow uncertainty around peak temperatures: sufficient solar heating could push readings into the mid-80s if convection holds off until evening, while earlier cloud buildup or rain would likely cap the daily maximum closer to 82°F. Traders therefore assign nearly equal implied probabilities to the 82–83°F and 84–85°F ranges, reflecting the sensitivity of short-range model runs to timing of moisture and instability. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution at the Dallas Love Field station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on May 19?
82-83°F 31%
84-85°F 24%
80-81°F 18%
78-79°F 12%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
24%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
2%
92°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 31%
84-85°F 24%
80-81°F 18%
78-79°F 12%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
24%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
2%
92°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALLatest National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on May 19 project afternoon highs near 83–85°F under moderate southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and typical May humidity, with isolated thunderstorms possible later in the day. These conditions create narrow uncertainty around peak temperatures: sufficient solar heating could push readings into the mid-80s if convection holds off until evening, while earlier cloud buildup or rain would likely cap the daily maximum closer to 82°F. Traders therefore assign nearly equal implied probabilities to the 82–83°F and 84–85°F ranges, reflecting the sensitivity of short-range model runs to timing of moisture and instability. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution at the Dallas Love Field station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions