National Weather Service forecast models currently point to a daytime high in Dallas between the upper 80s and low 90s at the official Love Field station, shaped by southerly winds of 15–20 mph advecting warm, moist air and partly sunny skies that permit surface heating. A 20–35% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms introduces modest cooling potential, keeping the 86–89°F ranges as the market’s tightest cluster while capping odds for 92°F or higher. This setup aligns with NOAA’s spring outlook for above-normal warmth across north Texas, though model runs show limited upper-level support for stronger intensification. Traders are weighing these variables against historical May averages near 85°F and the narrow timing window remaining for any late-day surge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on May 18?
Highest temperature in Dallas on May 18?
86-87°F 34%
88-89°F 29%
90-91°F 22%
92°F or higher 10%
NEW
$15,244 Vol.
NEW
$15,244 Vol.
May 18, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
34%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
22%
92°F or higher
10%
86-87°F 34%
88-89°F 29%
90-91°F 22%
92°F or higher 10%
NEW
$15,244 Vol.
NEW
$15,244 Vol.
May 18, 2026
73°F or below
$496 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$483 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$513 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$813 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$945 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$555 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$1,067 Vol.
5%
86-87°F
$3,977 Vol.
34%
88-89°F
$2,047 Vol.
29%
90-91°F
$2,243 Vol.
22%
92°F or higher
$2,105 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecast models currently point to a daytime high in Dallas between the upper 80s and low 90s at the official Love Field station, shaped by southerly winds of 15–20 mph advecting warm, moist air and partly sunny skies that permit surface heating. A 20–35% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms introduces modest cooling potential, keeping the 86–89°F ranges as the market’s tightest cluster while capping odds for 92°F or higher. This setup aligns with NOAA’s spring outlook for above-normal warmth across north Texas, though model runs show limited upper-level support for stronger intensification. Traders are weighing these variables against historical May averages near 85°F and the narrow timing window remaining for any late-day surge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$15,244End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecast models currently point to a daytime high in Dallas between the upper 80s and low 90s at the official Love Field station, shaped by southerly winds of 15–20 mph advecting warm, moist air and partly sunny skies that permit surface heating. A 20–35% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms introduces modest cooling potential, keeping the 86–89°F ranges as the market’s tightest cluster while capping odds for 92°F or higher. This setup aligns with NOAA’s spring outlook for above-normal warmth across north Texas, though model runs show limited upper-level support for stronger intensification. Traders are weighing these variables against historical May averages near 85°F and the narrow timing window remaining for any late-day surge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,244End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALNational Weather Service forecast models currently point to a daytime high in Dallas between the upper 80s and low 90s at the official Love Field station, shaped by southerly winds of 15–20 mph advecting warm, moist air and partly sunny skies that permit surface heating. A 20–35% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms introduces modest cooling potential, keeping the 86–89°F ranges as the market’s tightest cluster while capping odds for 92°F or higher. This setup aligns with NOAA’s spring outlook for above-normal warmth across north Texas, though model runs show limited upper-level support for stronger intensification. Traders are weighing these variables against historical May averages near 85°F and the narrow timing window remaining for any late-day surge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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