Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a daily maximum in Chengdu of 32–34°C on May 22, with the highest probabilities clustered around 33°C. Subtropical high pressure and warm southerly flow are driving afternoon temperatures above seasonal norms of 27–29°C, while scattered late-day convection and basin humidity may cap peaks near the upper end of that range. Model consensus shows limited spread due to stable steering patterns, yet small shifts in timing of cloud cover or localized thunderstorms could differentiate outcomes between 32°C and 34°C. Traders are therefore weighting recent runs that place the most likely maximum at 33°C, consistent with the city’s typical late-May warming trend under similar synoptic setups.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 22?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 22?
33°C 31%
32°C 23%
34°C 20%
31°C 17%
NEW
NEW
May 22, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
17%
32°C
23%
33°C
31%
34°C
20%
35°C
8%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 31%
32°C 23%
34°C 20%
31°C 17%
NEW
NEW
May 22, 2026
28°C or below
$728 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,022 Vol.
1%
30°C
$4,445 Vol.
2%
31°C
$475 Vol.
17%
32°C
$613 Vol.
23%
33°C
$623 Vol.
31%
34°C
$391 Vol.
20%
35°C
$256 Vol.
8%
36°C
$376 Vol.
5%
37°C
$433 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$392 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a daily maximum in Chengdu of 32–34°C on May 22, with the highest probabilities clustered around 33°C. Subtropical high pressure and warm southerly flow are driving afternoon temperatures above seasonal norms of 27–29°C, while scattered late-day convection and basin humidity may cap peaks near the upper end of that range. Model consensus shows limited spread due to stable steering patterns, yet small shifts in timing of cloud cover or localized thunderstorms could differentiate outcomes between 32°C and 34°C. Traders are therefore weighting recent runs that place the most likely maximum at 33°C, consistent with the city’s typical late-May warming trend under similar synoptic setups.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 20, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volume
$9,646End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a daily maximum in Chengdu of 32–34°C on May 22, with the highest probabilities clustered around 33°C. Subtropical high pressure and warm southerly flow are driving afternoon temperatures above seasonal norms of 27–29°C, while scattered late-day convection and basin humidity may cap peaks near the upper end of that range. Model consensus shows limited spread due to stable steering patterns, yet small shifts in timing of cloud cover or localized thunderstorms could differentiate outcomes between 32°C and 34°C. Traders are therefore weighting recent runs that place the most likely maximum at 33°C, consistent with the city’s typical late-May warming trend under similar synoptic setups.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,646End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a daily maximum in Chengdu of 32–34°C on May 22, with the highest probabilities clustered around 33°C. Subtropical high pressure and warm southerly flow are driving afternoon temperatures above seasonal norms of 27–29°C, while scattered late-day convection and basin humidity may cap peaks near the upper end of that range. Model consensus shows limited spread due to stable steering patterns, yet small shifts in timing of cloud cover or localized thunderstorms could differentiate outcomes between 32°C and 34°C. Traders are therefore weighting recent runs that place the most likely maximum at 33°C, consistent with the city’s typical late-May warming trend under similar synoptic setups.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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