Turkish State Meteorological Service forecasts a high of 21°C in Ankara on May 8, driving trader consensus toward tightly clustered outcomes around 20–23°C after a sharp cold snap earlier in the week that dropped highs to 8–10°C amid an Arctic airmass. Recovery stems from shifting upper-air patterns introducing milder southerly flow, with ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS showing slight divergence—some runs peaking at 22°C under clearer skies, others at 20°C with lingering clouds or northerly winds. Climatological May norms average 22°C, but day-to-day variability in solar insolation and boundary layer mixing creates the razor-thin spread. New 12Z model updates expected today could sharpen the signal ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on May 8?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 8?
21°C 32%
22°C 30%
23°C 12%
20°C 12%
NEW
NEW
May 8, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
12%
21°C
32%
22°C
30%
23°C
12%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 32%
22°C 30%
23°C 12%
20°C 12%
NEW
NEW
May 8, 2026
15°C or below
$160 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$182 Vol.
1%
17°C
$85 Vol.
1%
18°C
$368 Vol.
1%
19°C
$248 Vol.
5%
20°C
$484 Vol.
12%
21°C
$181 Vol.
32%
22°C
$170 Vol.
30%
23°C
$446 Vol.
12%
24°C
$247 Vol.
3%
25°C or higher
$148 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Turkish State Meteorological Service forecasts a high of 21°C in Ankara on May 8, driving trader consensus toward tightly clustered outcomes around 20–23°C after a sharp cold snap earlier in the week that dropped highs to 8–10°C amid an Arctic airmass. Recovery stems from shifting upper-air patterns introducing milder southerly flow, with ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS showing slight divergence—some runs peaking at 22°C under clearer skies, others at 20°C with lingering clouds or northerly winds. Climatological May norms average 22°C, but day-to-day variability in solar insolation and boundary layer mixing creates the razor-thin spread. New 12Z model updates expected today could sharpen the signal ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 6, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volume
$2,719End Date
May 8, 2026Market Opened
May 6, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Turkish State Meteorological Service forecasts a high of 21°C in Ankara on May 8, driving trader consensus toward tightly clustered outcomes around 20–23°C after a sharp cold snap earlier in the week that dropped highs to 8–10°C amid an Arctic airmass. Recovery stems from shifting upper-air patterns introducing milder southerly flow, with ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS showing slight divergence—some runs peaking at 22°C under clearer skies, others at 20°C with lingering clouds or northerly winds. Climatological May norms average 22°C, but day-to-day variability in solar insolation and boundary layer mixing creates the razor-thin spread. New 12Z model updates expected today could sharpen the signal ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,719End Date
May 8, 2026Market Opened
May 6, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Turkish State Meteorological Service forecasts a high of 21°C in Ankara on May 8, driving trader consensus toward tightly clustered outcomes around 20–23°C after a sharp cold snap earlier in the week that dropped highs to 8–10°C amid an Arctic airmass. Recovery stems from shifting upper-air patterns introducing milder southerly flow, with ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS showing slight divergence—some runs peaking at 22°C under clearer skies, others at 20°C with lingering clouds or northerly winds. Climatological May norms average 22°C, but day-to-day variability in solar insolation and boundary layer mixing creates the razor-thin spread. New 12Z model updates expected today could sharpen the signal ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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