Latest Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) advisories indicate an easing heatwave in Karachi after mid-week peaks exceeding 44°C, with May 6 highs forecast at 36-38°C under hot, dry conditions dominated by high-pressure subsidence. Trader-implied probabilities cluster around 34-36°C for May 8—closely matched at 22-25%—reflecting model consensus from GFS and ECMWF showing daytime maxima near 35°C, tempered by potential sea breeze onshore flows that promote evaporative cooling and suppress peaks below 36°C. Clearer skies or offshore winds could push toward 36°C+, while partial cloudiness favors 34-35°C; urban heat island effects amplify variability. Watch PMD's daily bulletin and model updates on May 7 for shifts in this tight race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on May 8?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 8?
34°C 30%
36°C or higher 19%
35°C 18%
33°C 7%
NEW
NEW
May 8, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
7%
34°C
30%
35°C
26%
36°C or higher
19%
34°C 30%
36°C or higher 19%
35°C 18%
33°C 7%
NEW
NEW
May 8, 2026
26°C or below
$184 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$94 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$91 Vol.
1%
30°C
$87 Vol.
1%
31°C
$83 Vol.
1%
32°C
$278 Vol.
1%
33°C
$75 Vol.
7%
34°C
$75 Vol.
30%
35°C
$75 Vol.
26%
36°C or higher
$261 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) advisories indicate an easing heatwave in Karachi after mid-week peaks exceeding 44°C, with May 6 highs forecast at 36-38°C under hot, dry conditions dominated by high-pressure subsidence. Trader-implied probabilities cluster around 34-36°C for May 8—closely matched at 22-25%—reflecting model consensus from GFS and ECMWF showing daytime maxima near 35°C, tempered by potential sea breeze onshore flows that promote evaporative cooling and suppress peaks below 36°C. Clearer skies or offshore winds could push toward 36°C+, while partial cloudiness favors 34-35°C; urban heat island effects amplify variability. Watch PMD's daily bulletin and model updates on May 7 for shifts in this tight race.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 6, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Volume
$1,310End Date
May 8, 2026Market Opened
May 6, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) advisories indicate an easing heatwave in Karachi after mid-week peaks exceeding 44°C, with May 6 highs forecast at 36-38°C under hot, dry conditions dominated by high-pressure subsidence. Trader-implied probabilities cluster around 34-36°C for May 8—closely matched at 22-25%—reflecting model consensus from GFS and ECMWF showing daytime maxima near 35°C, tempered by potential sea breeze onshore flows that promote evaporative cooling and suppress peaks below 36°C. Clearer skies or offshore winds could push toward 36°C+, while partial cloudiness favors 34-35°C; urban heat island effects amplify variability. Watch PMD's daily bulletin and model updates on May 7 for shifts in this tight race.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,310End Date
May 8, 2026Market Opened
May 6, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) advisories indicate an easing heatwave in Karachi after mid-week peaks exceeding 44°C, with May 6 highs forecast at 36-38°C under hot, dry conditions dominated by high-pressure subsidence. Trader-implied probabilities cluster around 34-36°C for May 8—closely matched at 22-25%—reflecting model consensus from GFS and ECMWF showing daytime maxima near 35°C, tempered by potential sea breeze onshore flows that promote evaporative cooling and suppress peaks below 36°C. Clearer skies or offshore winds could push toward 36°C+, while partial cloudiness favors 34-35°C; urban heat island effects amplify variability. Watch PMD's daily bulletin and model updates on May 7 for shifts in this tight race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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