Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts indicate a consensus high of 19-20°C for London on May 8 under sunny intervals with light southerly winds and low precipitation risk (up to 30%), driving trader sentiment toward these tightly clustered outcomes at 26-28% implied probabilities. Recent model runs reflect a warming trend from mid-week highs of 14-17°C amid showers and frost risks, as high-pressure builds eastward, boosting daytime insolation while residual Atlantic moisture introduces uncertainty in cloud cover that could cap peaks at 18°C or push toward 21°C if clearer. Historical early May averages hover near 17°C, amplifying sensitivity to exact solar exposure. New ensemble updates expected May 7 may refine this balance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on May 8?
Highest temperature in London on May 8?
19°C 36%
18°C 28%
20°C 18%
17°C 8.2%
NEW
NEW
May 8, 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
8%
18°C
28%
19°C
36%
20°C
18%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 36%
18°C 28%
20°C 18%
17°C 8.2%
NEW
NEW
May 8, 2026
13°C or below
$149 Vol.
1%
14°C
$21 Vol.
1%
15°C
$78 Vol.
1%
16°C
$118 Vol.
2%
17°C
$289 Vol.
8%
18°C
$313 Vol.
28%
19°C
$227 Vol.
36%
20°C
$526 Vol.
18%
21°C
$157 Vol.
6%
22°C
$225 Vol.
1%
23°C or higher
$430 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts indicate a consensus high of 19-20°C for London on May 8 under sunny intervals with light southerly winds and low precipitation risk (up to 30%), driving trader sentiment toward these tightly clustered outcomes at 26-28% implied probabilities. Recent model runs reflect a warming trend from mid-week highs of 14-17°C amid showers and frost risks, as high-pressure builds eastward, boosting daytime insolation while residual Atlantic moisture introduces uncertainty in cloud cover that could cap peaks at 18°C or push toward 21°C if clearer. Historical early May averages hover near 17°C, amplifying sensitivity to exact solar exposure. New ensemble updates expected May 7 may refine this balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 6, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$2,533End Date
May 8, 2026Market Opened
May 6, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts indicate a consensus high of 19-20°C for London on May 8 under sunny intervals with light southerly winds and low precipitation risk (up to 30%), driving trader sentiment toward these tightly clustered outcomes at 26-28% implied probabilities. Recent model runs reflect a warming trend from mid-week highs of 14-17°C amid showers and frost risks, as high-pressure builds eastward, boosting daytime insolation while residual Atlantic moisture introduces uncertainty in cloud cover that could cap peaks at 18°C or push toward 21°C if clearer. Historical early May averages hover near 17°C, amplifying sensitivity to exact solar exposure. New ensemble updates expected May 7 may refine this balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,533End Date
May 8, 2026Market Opened
May 6, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts indicate a consensus high of 19-20°C for London on May 8 under sunny intervals with light southerly winds and low precipitation risk (up to 30%), driving trader sentiment toward these tightly clustered outcomes at 26-28% implied probabilities. Recent model runs reflect a warming trend from mid-week highs of 14-17°C amid showers and frost risks, as high-pressure builds eastward, boosting daytime insolation while residual Atlantic moisture introduces uncertainty in cloud cover that could cap peaks at 18°C or push toward 21°C if clearer. Historical early May averages hover near 17°C, amplifying sensitivity to exact solar exposure. New ensemble updates expected May 7 may refine this balance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions