Tight race in trader consensus around 78-81°F for Austin's May 8 high temperature stems from National Weather Service forecasts projecting a rebound to near 81°F after Thursday's cooler 73°F amid scattered thunderstorms, but with 30% odds of spotty showers Friday potentially capping peaks lower. Differentiating factors include cloud cover extent and precipitation timing during afternoon peak heating—persistent low-level clouds from lingering post-frontal moisture could limit insolation for 78-79°F outcomes, while quicker clearing under returning southerly winds favors 80-81°F. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show spread due to uncertain disturbance evolution, with morning lows near 64°F and climatological May averages near 88°F providing baseline warmth. Watch 12z model runs and NWS updates Thursday for refinements ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on May 8?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 8?
80-81°F 27%
76-77°F 26%
78-79°F 24%
82-83°F 8%
NEW
NEW
May 8, 2026
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 27%
76-77°F 26%
78-79°F 24%
82-83°F 8%
NEW
NEW
May 8, 2026
71°F or below
$45 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$8 Vol.
5%
76-77°F
$117 Vol.
26%
78-79°F
$163 Vol.
24%
80-81°F
$25 Vol.
27%
82-83°F
$39 Vol.
8%
84-85°F
$50 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$29 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$5 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Tight race in trader consensus around 78-81°F for Austin's May 8 high temperature stems from National Weather Service forecasts projecting a rebound to near 81°F after Thursday's cooler 73°F amid scattered thunderstorms, but with 30% odds of spotty showers Friday potentially capping peaks lower. Differentiating factors include cloud cover extent and precipitation timing during afternoon peak heating—persistent low-level clouds from lingering post-frontal moisture could limit insolation for 78-79°F outcomes, while quicker clearing under returning southerly winds favors 80-81°F. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show spread due to uncertain disturbance evolution, with morning lows near 64°F and climatological May averages near 88°F providing baseline warmth. Watch 12z model runs and NWS updates Thursday for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 6, 2026, 12:52 AM ET
Volume
$491End Date
May 8, 2026Market Opened
May 6, 2026, 12:52 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Tight race in trader consensus around 78-81°F for Austin's May 8 high temperature stems from National Weather Service forecasts projecting a rebound to near 81°F after Thursday's cooler 73°F amid scattered thunderstorms, but with 30% odds of spotty showers Friday potentially capping peaks lower. Differentiating factors include cloud cover extent and precipitation timing during afternoon peak heating—persistent low-level clouds from lingering post-frontal moisture could limit insolation for 78-79°F outcomes, while quicker clearing under returning southerly winds favors 80-81°F. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show spread due to uncertain disturbance evolution, with morning lows near 64°F and climatological May averages near 88°F providing baseline warmth. Watch 12z model runs and NWS updates Thursday for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$491End Date
May 8, 2026Market Opened
May 6, 2026, 12:52 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tight race in trader consensus around 78-81°F for Austin's May 8 high temperature stems from National Weather Service forecasts projecting a rebound to near 81°F after Thursday's cooler 73°F amid scattered thunderstorms, but with 30% odds of spotty showers Friday potentially capping peaks lower. Differentiating factors include cloud cover extent and precipitation timing during afternoon peak heating—persistent low-level clouds from lingering post-frontal moisture could limit insolation for 78-79°F outcomes, while quicker clearing under returning southerly winds favors 80-81°F. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show spread due to uncertain disturbance evolution, with morning lows near 64°F and climatological May averages near 88°F providing baseline warmth. Watch 12z model runs and NWS updates Thursday for refinements ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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