Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits across 88-93°F bins for Miami's May 8 high temperature, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and global model ensembles projecting peaks in the low to mid-90s amid dry conditions under a building subtropical ridge. Recent decreases in shower and thunderstorm coverage over the past 48 hours—observed highs reached 86°F on May 5—have spurred this warming trend, 3-7°F above the 86°F climatological normal, with southeasterly winds and warm sea surface temperatures aiding peak heating. Differentiating the tight race: forecast models diverge on sea breeze timing, where earlier inland push limits to 88-89°F via afternoon clouds, while delayed activity enables 92-93°F. New 12Z GFS and ECMWF runs today, plus NWS updates, could sharpen odds before resolution at Miami International Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on May 8?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 8?
88-89°F 34%
90-91°F 32%
92-93°F 21%
94-95°F 9.0%
NEW
NEW
May 8, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
34%
90-91°F
32%
92-93°F
21%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
2%
98°F or higher
1%
88-89°F 34%
90-91°F 32%
92-93°F 21%
94-95°F 9.0%
NEW
NEW
May 8, 2026
79°F or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$100 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$165 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$358 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$531 Vol.
8%
88-89°F
$168 Vol.
34%
90-91°F
$128 Vol.
32%
92-93°F
$238 Vol.
21%
94-95°F
$214 Vol.
9%
96-97°F
$2 Vol.
2%
98°F or higher
$205 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits across 88-93°F bins for Miami's May 8 high temperature, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and global model ensembles projecting peaks in the low to mid-90s amid dry conditions under a building subtropical ridge. Recent decreases in shower and thunderstorm coverage over the past 48 hours—observed highs reached 86°F on May 5—have spurred this warming trend, 3-7°F above the 86°F climatological normal, with southeasterly winds and warm sea surface temperatures aiding peak heating. Differentiating the tight race: forecast models diverge on sea breeze timing, where earlier inland push limits to 88-89°F via afternoon clouds, while delayed activity enables 92-93°F. New 12Z GFS and ECMWF runs today, plus NWS updates, could sharpen odds before resolution at Miami International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 6, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volume
$2,102End Date
May 8, 2026Market Opened
May 6, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits across 88-93°F bins for Miami's May 8 high temperature, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and global model ensembles projecting peaks in the low to mid-90s amid dry conditions under a building subtropical ridge. Recent decreases in shower and thunderstorm coverage over the past 48 hours—observed highs reached 86°F on May 5—have spurred this warming trend, 3-7°F above the 86°F climatological normal, with southeasterly winds and warm sea surface temperatures aiding peak heating. Differentiating the tight race: forecast models diverge on sea breeze timing, where earlier inland push limits to 88-89°F via afternoon clouds, while delayed activity enables 92-93°F. New 12Z GFS and ECMWF runs today, plus NWS updates, could sharpen odds before resolution at Miami International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,102End Date
May 8, 2026Market Opened
May 6, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits across 88-93°F bins for Miami's May 8 high temperature, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and global model ensembles projecting peaks in the low to mid-90s amid dry conditions under a building subtropical ridge. Recent decreases in shower and thunderstorm coverage over the past 48 hours—observed highs reached 86°F on May 5—have spurred this warming trend, 3-7°F above the 86°F climatological normal, with southeasterly winds and warm sea surface temperatures aiding peak heating. Differentiating the tight race: forecast models diverge on sea breeze timing, where earlier inland push limits to 88-89°F via afternoon clouds, while delayed activity enables 92-93°F. New 12Z GFS and ECMWF runs today, plus NWS updates, could sharpen odds before resolution at Miami International Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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