Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecast models project a daytime high of 25°C in Buenos Aires today, driving trader consensus to 77% implied probability amid mild autumn conditions warmer than the May climatological average of 18–19°C. This positioning stems from an upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and northerly warm air advection, following yesterday's 24°C peak that aligned closely with guidance. While scattered showers pose minor risk of capping temperatures at 24°C, model ensembles show low potential for 26°C or higher due to instability limits. Hourly SMN observations from Aeroparque and Ezeiza stations, expected through afternoon peak heating around 3–5 PM local time, will refine intraday trajectories and influence final resolution based on official maximum readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 6?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 6?
25°C 83.6%
26°C 7.6%
27°C or higher 3.1%
23°C <1%
$73,949 Vol.
$73,949 Vol.
May 6, 2026
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
84%
26°C
8%
27°C or higher
3%
25°C 83.6%
26°C 7.6%
27°C or higher 3.1%
23°C <1%
$73,949 Vol.
$73,949 Vol.
May 6, 2026
23°C
$5,613 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$6,072 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$7,472 Vol.
84%
26°C
$6,393 Vol.
8%
27°C or higher
$6,199 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecast models project a daytime high of 25°C in Buenos Aires today, driving trader consensus to 77% implied probability amid mild autumn conditions warmer than the May climatological average of 18–19°C. This positioning stems from an upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and northerly warm air advection, following yesterday's 24°C peak that aligned closely with guidance. While scattered showers pose minor risk of capping temperatures at 24°C, model ensembles show low potential for 26°C or higher due to instability limits. Hourly SMN observations from Aeroparque and Ezeiza stations, expected through afternoon peak heating around 3–5 PM local time, will refine intraday trajectories and influence final resolution based on official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
Volume
$73,949End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecast models project a daytime high of 25°C in Buenos Aires today, driving trader consensus to 77% implied probability amid mild autumn conditions warmer than the May climatological average of 18–19°C. This positioning stems from an upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and northerly warm air advection, following yesterday's 24°C peak that aligned closely with guidance. While scattered showers pose minor risk of capping temperatures at 24°C, model ensembles show low potential for 26°C or higher due to instability limits. Hourly SMN observations from Aeroparque and Ezeiza stations, expected through afternoon peak heating around 3–5 PM local time, will refine intraday trajectories and influence final resolution based on official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$73,949End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecast models project a daytime high of 25°C in Buenos Aires today, driving trader consensus to 77% implied probability amid mild autumn conditions warmer than the May climatological average of 18–19°C. This positioning stems from an upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and northerly warm air advection, following yesterday's 24°C peak that aligned closely with guidance. While scattered showers pose minor risk of capping temperatures at 24°C, model ensembles show low potential for 26°C or higher due to instability limits. Hourly SMN observations from Aeroparque and Ezeiza stations, expected through afternoon peak heating around 3–5 PM local time, will refine intraday trajectories and influence final resolution based on official maximum readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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