Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 20°C in Munich on May 6, driven by the latest hourly forecasts from Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS, which project a midday-to-afternoon peak of 68°F (20°C) under persistent overcast skies, isolated thunderstorms, and light showers. Current readings around 17–18°C by early afternoon, combined with a cool upper-air mass following yesterday's warmer 24°C high, suppress further warming via reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. This positioning reflects strong scientific alignment on limited diurnal heating. Realistic challenges include an improbable sudden cloud clearance or localized Foehn winds from the Alps boosting temperatures to 21°C+, though shower risks make this unlikely as the peak window nears resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on May 6?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 6?
20°C 99.8%
22°C <1%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
$66,641 Vol.
$66,641 Vol.
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 99.8%
22°C <1%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
$66,641 Vol.
$66,641 Vol.
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 12:33 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 20°C in Munich on May 6, driven by the latest hourly forecasts from Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS, which project a midday-to-afternoon peak of 68°F (20°C) under persistent overcast skies, isolated thunderstorms, and light showers. Current readings around 17–18°C by early afternoon, combined with a cool upper-air mass following yesterday's warmer 24°C high, suppress further warming via reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. This positioning reflects strong scientific alignment on limited diurnal heating. Realistic challenges include an improbable sudden cloud clearance or localized Foehn winds from the Alps boosting temperatures to 21°C+, though shower risks make this unlikely as the peak window nears resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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