Trader consensus splits nearly evenly between 34-35°C and 31-33°C for Jakarta's May 8 high temperature, driven by conflicting signals from official BMKG forecasts and global models amid the early dry season transition. BMKG's May 5 update projects clear skies (cerah) across DKI Jakarta with highs of 30-31°C, high humidity (65-95%), and low rain risk, tilting toward lower brackets. Yet, recent days' observed peaks near 34°C—exceeding prior forecasts—plus ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing stronger solar heating and minimal convection, support 34-35°C via urban heat island amplification in the city center. Differentiating factor: afternoon sea breeze or isolated thunderstorms capping temps below 33°C versus prolonged insolation. Next BMKG advisory expected May 6 could resolve uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 8?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 8?
34°C 39%
35°C 30%
33°C 22%
36°C 9.6%
NEW
NEW
May 8, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
22%
34°C
39%
35°C
30%
36°C
10%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 39%
35°C 30%
33°C 22%
36°C 9.6%
NEW
NEW
May 8, 2026
28°C or below
$841 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$542 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$104 Vol.
1%
31°C
$62 Vol.
1%
32°C
$368 Vol.
6%
33°C
$72 Vol.
22%
34°C
$77 Vol.
39%
35°C
$133 Vol.
30%
36°C
$23 Vol.
10%
37°C
$280 Vol.
2%
38°C or higher
$867 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus splits nearly evenly between 34-35°C and 31-33°C for Jakarta's May 8 high temperature, driven by conflicting signals from official BMKG forecasts and global models amid the early dry season transition. BMKG's May 5 update projects clear skies (cerah) across DKI Jakarta with highs of 30-31°C, high humidity (65-95%), and low rain risk, tilting toward lower brackets. Yet, recent days' observed peaks near 34°C—exceeding prior forecasts—plus ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing stronger solar heating and minimal convection, support 34-35°C via urban heat island amplification in the city center. Differentiating factor: afternoon sea breeze or isolated thunderstorms capping temps below 33°C versus prolonged insolation. Next BMKG advisory expected May 6 could resolve uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 6, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
Volume
$3,369End Date
May 8, 2026Market Opened
May 6, 2026, 12:48 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus splits nearly evenly between 34-35°C and 31-33°C for Jakarta's May 8 high temperature, driven by conflicting signals from official BMKG forecasts and global models amid the early dry season transition. BMKG's May 5 update projects clear skies (cerah) across DKI Jakarta with highs of 30-31°C, high humidity (65-95%), and low rain risk, tilting toward lower brackets. Yet, recent days' observed peaks near 34°C—exceeding prior forecasts—plus ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing stronger solar heating and minimal convection, support 34-35°C via urban heat island amplification in the city center. Differentiating factor: afternoon sea breeze or isolated thunderstorms capping temps below 33°C versus prolonged insolation. Next BMKG advisory expected May 6 could resolve uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,369End Date
May 8, 2026Market Opened
May 6, 2026, 12:48 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus splits nearly evenly between 34-35°C and 31-33°C for Jakarta's May 8 high temperature, driven by conflicting signals from official BMKG forecasts and global models amid the early dry season transition. BMKG's May 5 update projects clear skies (cerah) across DKI Jakarta with highs of 30-31°C, high humidity (65-95%), and low rain risk, tilting toward lower brackets. Yet, recent days' observed peaks near 34°C—exceeding prior forecasts—plus ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing stronger solar heating and minimal convection, support 34-35°C via urban heat island amplification in the city center. Differentiating factor: afternoon sea breeze or isolated thunderstorms capping temps below 33°C versus prolonged insolation. Next BMKG advisory expected May 6 could resolve uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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