National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from recent GFS and NAM runs indicate a high near 66°F at LaGuardia Airport amid a shallow cool air mass aloft and increasing shower probabilities, anchoring trader sentiment to 66-67°F as the leading outcome. Morning observations at KLGA show temperatures climbing into the mid-60s under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds around 10 mph providing modest warm advection, but afternoon cloud cover and 60% chance of scattered showers threaten to cap solar insolation and boundary layer heating. The close contest with 68-69°F reflects uncertainty in shower timing—delayed development could allow brief clearing for 1-2°F higher peaks—while climatological May norms near 69°F offer historical context for potential upside amid model spread. Hourly updates from NOAA stations will refine resolution as the day progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on May 6?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 6?
68-69°F 49%
66-67°F 33%
70-71°F 16%
72-73°F 5.7%
$317,384 Vol.
$317,384 Vol.
May 6, 2026
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
33%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
6%
74°F or higher
4%
68-69°F 49%
66-67°F 33%
70-71°F 16%
72-73°F 5.7%
$317,384 Vol.
$317,384 Vol.
May 6, 2026
64-65°F
$15,279 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$11,609 Vol.
33%
68-69°F
$7,518 Vol.
49%
70-71°F
$7,650 Vol.
16%
72-73°F
$10,125 Vol.
6%
74°F or higher
$20,393 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from recent GFS and NAM runs indicate a high near 66°F at LaGuardia Airport amid a shallow cool air mass aloft and increasing shower probabilities, anchoring trader sentiment to 66-67°F as the leading outcome. Morning observations at KLGA show temperatures climbing into the mid-60s under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds around 10 mph providing modest warm advection, but afternoon cloud cover and 60% chance of scattered showers threaten to cap solar insolation and boundary layer heating. The close contest with 68-69°F reflects uncertainty in shower timing—delayed development could allow brief clearing for 1-2°F higher peaks—while climatological May norms near 69°F offer historical context for potential upside amid model spread. Hourly updates from NOAA stations will refine resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 12:48 PM ET
Volume
$317,384End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 12:48 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from recent GFS and NAM runs indicate a high near 66°F at LaGuardia Airport amid a shallow cool air mass aloft and increasing shower probabilities, anchoring trader sentiment to 66-67°F as the leading outcome. Morning observations at KLGA show temperatures climbing into the mid-60s under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds around 10 mph providing modest warm advection, but afternoon cloud cover and 60% chance of scattered showers threaten to cap solar insolation and boundary layer heating. The close contest with 68-69°F reflects uncertainty in shower timing—delayed development could allow brief clearing for 1-2°F higher peaks—while climatological May norms near 69°F offer historical context for potential upside amid model spread. Hourly updates from NOAA stations will refine resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$317,384End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 12:48 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from recent GFS and NAM runs indicate a high near 66°F at LaGuardia Airport amid a shallow cool air mass aloft and increasing shower probabilities, anchoring trader sentiment to 66-67°F as the leading outcome. Morning observations at KLGA show temperatures climbing into the mid-60s under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds around 10 mph providing modest warm advection, but afternoon cloud cover and 60% chance of scattered showers threaten to cap solar insolation and boundary layer heating. The close contest with 68-69°F reflects uncertainty in shower timing—delayed development could allow brief clearing for 1-2°F higher peaks—while climatological May norms near 69°F offer historical context for potential upside amid model spread. Hourly updates from NOAA stations will refine resolution as the day progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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