Latest forecasts from Italian meteorological services like IlMeteo.it and ARPA Lombardia point to a maximum temperature near 17°C in Milan on May 6, shaped by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a cool northerly air mass suppressing daytime heating. This follows a sharp cool-down over the past 48 hours—from 23°C highs on May 4 to rainy 16°C on May 5—with thunderstorm alerts now active, limiting insolation and capping trader consensus at 17°C (46% implied probability), ahead of 16°C (25%) and 18°C (16%). ECMWF and GFS model ensembles show over 50% precipitation odds, though brief afternoon clearing could nudge toward 18°C; official Milano Linate or Malpensa observations will resolve amid this uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on May 6?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 6?
17°C 77%
18°C 23%
19°C 2.1%
20°C or higher <1%
$66,460 Vol.
$66,460 Vol.
May 6, 2026
16°C
<1%
17°C
77%
18°C
23%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
1%
17°C 77%
18°C 23%
19°C 2.1%
20°C or higher <1%
$66,460 Vol.
$66,460 Vol.
May 6, 2026
16°C
$17,600 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$6,107 Vol.
77%
18°C
$5,456 Vol.
23%
19°C
$8,946 Vol.
2%
20°C or higher
$12,749 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from Italian meteorological services like IlMeteo.it and ARPA Lombardia point to a maximum temperature near 17°C in Milan on May 6, shaped by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a cool northerly air mass suppressing daytime heating. This follows a sharp cool-down over the past 48 hours—from 23°C highs on May 4 to rainy 16°C on May 5—with thunderstorm alerts now active, limiting insolation and capping trader consensus at 17°C (46% implied probability), ahead of 16°C (25%) and 18°C (16%). ECMWF and GFS model ensembles show over 50% precipitation odds, though brief afternoon clearing could nudge toward 18°C; official Milano Linate or Malpensa observations will resolve amid this uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Volume
$66,460End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from Italian meteorological services like IlMeteo.it and ARPA Lombardia point to a maximum temperature near 17°C in Milan on May 6, shaped by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a cool northerly air mass suppressing daytime heating. This follows a sharp cool-down over the past 48 hours—from 23°C highs on May 4 to rainy 16°C on May 5—with thunderstorm alerts now active, limiting insolation and capping trader consensus at 17°C (46% implied probability), ahead of 16°C (25%) and 18°C (16%). ECMWF and GFS model ensembles show over 50% precipitation odds, though brief afternoon clearing could nudge toward 18°C; official Milano Linate or Malpensa observations will resolve amid this uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$66,460End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from Italian meteorological services like IlMeteo.it and ARPA Lombardia point to a maximum temperature near 17°C in Milan on May 6, shaped by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a cool northerly air mass suppressing daytime heating. This follows a sharp cool-down over the past 48 hours—from 23°C highs on May 4 to rainy 16°C on May 5—with thunderstorm alerts now active, limiting insolation and capping trader consensus at 17°C (46% implied probability), ahead of 16°C (25%) and 18°C (16%). ECMWF and GFS model ensembles show over 50% precipitation odds, though brief afternoon clearing could nudge toward 18°C; official Milano Linate or Malpensa observations will resolve amid this uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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