Hong Kong Observatory observations as of late evening on May 6, 2026, record a peak air temperature of 24.6°C at the Observatory station since midnight, driving trader consensus to 96% implied probability on 24°C amid mainly cloudy skies and a moderating northeast monsoon that has kept highs suppressed below seasonal May norms of 28–29°C. Cool easterly winds force 4–5 offshore and high relative humidity (85%) have limited daytime heating, with bright periods insufficient for further intensification per the morning's official forecast range of 22–26°C. Realistic challenges include improbable late-afternoon clearing allowing brief solar-driven spikes to 25°C before sunset around 19:00 HKT, though current 24.2°C readings and isolated showers reduce this risk; final daily maximum from HKO expected post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 6?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 6?
24°C 94.3%
25°C 4.6%
26°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
$246,776 Vol.
$246,776 Vol.
May 6, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
94%
25°C
5%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
24°C 94.3%
25°C 4.6%
26°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
$246,776 Vol.
$246,776 Vol.
May 6, 2026
21°C or below
$503 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$6,455 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$8,725 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$68,861 Vol.
94%
25°C
$40,077 Vol.
5%
26°C
$35,504 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$42,193 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$27,009 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$11,859 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,747 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$2,093 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory observations as of late evening on May 6, 2026, record a peak air temperature of 24.6°C at the Observatory station since midnight, driving trader consensus to 96% implied probability on 24°C amid mainly cloudy skies and a moderating northeast monsoon that has kept highs suppressed below seasonal May norms of 28–29°C. Cool easterly winds force 4–5 offshore and high relative humidity (85%) have limited daytime heating, with bright periods insufficient for further intensification per the morning's official forecast range of 22–26°C. Realistic challenges include improbable late-afternoon clearing allowing brief solar-driven spikes to 25°C before sunset around 19:00 HKT, though current 24.2°C readings and isolated showers reduce this risk; final daily maximum from HKO expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ET
Volume
$246,776End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory observations as of late evening on May 6, 2026, record a peak air temperature of 24.6°C at the Observatory station since midnight, driving trader consensus to 96% implied probability on 24°C amid mainly cloudy skies and a moderating northeast monsoon that has kept highs suppressed below seasonal May norms of 28–29°C. Cool easterly winds force 4–5 offshore and high relative humidity (85%) have limited daytime heating, with bright periods insufficient for further intensification per the morning's official forecast range of 22–26°C. Realistic challenges include improbable late-afternoon clearing allowing brief solar-driven spikes to 25°C before sunset around 19:00 HKT, though current 24.2°C readings and isolated showers reduce this risk; final daily maximum from HKO expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$246,776End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory observations as of late evening on May 6, 2026, record a peak air temperature of 24.6°C at the Observatory station since midnight, driving trader consensus to 96% implied probability on 24°C amid mainly cloudy skies and a moderating northeast monsoon that has kept highs suppressed below seasonal May norms of 28–29°C. Cool easterly winds force 4–5 offshore and high relative humidity (85%) have limited daytime heating, with bright periods insufficient for further intensification per the morning's official forecast range of 22–26°C. Realistic challenges include improbable late-afternoon clearing allowing brief solar-driven spikes to 25°C before sunset around 19:00 HKT, though current 24.2°C readings and isolated showers reduce this risk; final daily maximum from HKO expected post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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