Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle project a high near 65°F on May 6 under partly sunny skies, driving trader consensus toward 64-65°F at 31.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 61°F or below at 27.9%. This tight clustering stems from southwest winds of 6-9 mph advecting cool, moist marine air across Puget Sound, fostering persistent boundary-layer stratus that limits diurnal heating and caps peaks in the low 60s—historical May 6 averages hover around 63°F at Seattle-Tacoma Airport (KSEA). GFS and ECMWF ensembles exhibit modest spread, with stronger subsidence inversion or earlier cloud breaks potentially lifting outcomes to 66-67°F (8.1%), while overcast persistence favors cooler results. Observational updates and afternoon model refreshes will sharpen resolution as insolation varies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seattle on May 6?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 6?
64-65°F 35%
61°F or below 30.1%
62-63°F 21.9%
66-67°F 6.5%
$77,892 Vol.
$77,892 Vol.
May 6, 2026
61°F or below
30%
62-63°F
22%
64-65°F
35%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 35%
61°F or below 30.1%
62-63°F 21.9%
66-67°F 6.5%
$77,892 Vol.
$77,892 Vol.
May 6, 2026
61°F or below
$13,944 Vol.
30%
62-63°F
$7,588 Vol.
22%
64-65°F
$5,717 Vol.
35%
66-67°F
$7,101 Vol.
7%
68-69°F
$8,577 Vol.
3%
70-71°F
$12,032 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$6,810 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$6,290 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$6,232 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$2,565 Vol.
1%
80°F or higher
$1,094 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle project a high near 65°F on May 6 under partly sunny skies, driving trader consensus toward 64-65°F at 31.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 61°F or below at 27.9%. This tight clustering stems from southwest winds of 6-9 mph advecting cool, moist marine air across Puget Sound, fostering persistent boundary-layer stratus that limits diurnal heating and caps peaks in the low 60s—historical May 6 averages hover around 63°F at Seattle-Tacoma Airport (KSEA). GFS and ECMWF ensembles exhibit modest spread, with stronger subsidence inversion or earlier cloud breaks potentially lifting outcomes to 66-67°F (8.1%), while overcast persistence favors cooler results. Observational updates and afternoon model refreshes will sharpen resolution as insolation varies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ET
Volume
$77,892End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle project a high near 65°F on May 6 under partly sunny skies, driving trader consensus toward 64-65°F at 31.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 61°F or below at 27.9%. This tight clustering stems from southwest winds of 6-9 mph advecting cool, moist marine air across Puget Sound, fostering persistent boundary-layer stratus that limits diurnal heating and caps peaks in the low 60s—historical May 6 averages hover around 63°F at Seattle-Tacoma Airport (KSEA). GFS and ECMWF ensembles exhibit modest spread, with stronger subsidence inversion or earlier cloud breaks potentially lifting outcomes to 66-67°F (8.1%), while overcast persistence favors cooler results. Observational updates and afternoon model refreshes will sharpen resolution as insolation varies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$77,892End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle project a high near 65°F on May 6 under partly sunny skies, driving trader consensus toward 64-65°F at 31.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 61°F or below at 27.9%. This tight clustering stems from southwest winds of 6-9 mph advecting cool, moist marine air across Puget Sound, fostering persistent boundary-layer stratus that limits diurnal heating and caps peaks in the low 60s—historical May 6 averages hover around 63°F at Seattle-Tacoma Airport (KSEA). GFS and ECMWF ensembles exhibit modest spread, with stronger subsidence inversion or earlier cloud breaks potentially lifting outcomes to 66-67°F (8.1%), while overcast persistence favors cooler results. Observational updates and afternoon model refreshes will sharpen resolution as insolation varies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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