Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Ankara’s May 19 maximum will most likely reach 19–20 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow across the Anatolian plateau. This narrow spread reflects the typical mid-May climatology of rising insolation tempered by residual spring cooling, with diurnal ranges of 10–12 °C driven by clear nocturnal radiative loss. Minor differences among ECMWF and GFS runs center on the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, which could add or subtract one degree of daytime heating. Traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to the two leading outcomes while discounting both colder and warmer extremes beyond the current consensus envelope.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on May 19?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 19?
19°C 32%
20°C 31%
18°C 15%
21°C 13%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
15%
19°C
32%
20°C
31%
21°C
13%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 32%
20°C 31%
18°C 15%
21°C 13%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
14°C or below
$186 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$56 Vol.
1%
17°C
$97 Vol.
6%
18°C
$126 Vol.
15%
19°C
$270 Vol.
32%
20°C
$218 Vol.
31%
21°C
$128 Vol.
13%
22°C
$57 Vol.
3%
23°C
$136 Vol.
2%
24°C or higher
$189 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Ankara’s May 19 maximum will most likely reach 19–20 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow across the Anatolian plateau. This narrow spread reflects the typical mid-May climatology of rising insolation tempered by residual spring cooling, with diurnal ranges of 10–12 °C driven by clear nocturnal radiative loss. Minor differences among ECMWF and GFS runs center on the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, which could add or subtract one degree of daytime heating. Traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to the two leading outcomes while discounting both colder and warmer extremes beyond the current consensus envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,618End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Ankara’s May 19 maximum will most likely reach 19–20 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow across the Anatolian plateau. This narrow spread reflects the typical mid-May climatology of rising insolation tempered by residual spring cooling, with diurnal ranges of 10–12 °C driven by clear nocturnal radiative loss. Minor differences among ECMWF and GFS runs center on the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, which could add or subtract one degree of daytime heating. Traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to the two leading outcomes while discounting both colder and warmer extremes beyond the current consensus envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,618End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACLatest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Ankara’s May 19 maximum will most likely reach 19–20 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow across the Anatolian plateau. This narrow spread reflects the typical mid-May climatology of rising insolation tempered by residual spring cooling, with diurnal ranges of 10–12 °C driven by clear nocturnal radiative loss. Minor differences among ECMWF and GFS runs center on the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, which could add or subtract one degree of daytime heating. Traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to the two leading outcomes while discounting both colder and warmer extremes beyond the current consensus envelope.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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