Current forecasts from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and European models indicate a daytime high near 25–26°C in Amsterdam on May 22, driven by a strengthening southwesterly flow that brings warmer air from the continent under mostly sunny skies with light winds. This setup favors the market’s leading 26°C outcome at 36.5% implied probability, as model consensus shows limited cloud cover and no significant frontal passage to suppress temperatures. Historical May climatology places the average daily maximum around 18–20°C, so the current pattern represents a notable warm anomaly consistent with recent model runs. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak, particularly any late-day cooling from increased marine influence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 22?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 22?
26°C 37%
27°C 22%
25°C 16%
24°C 9%
NEW
NEW
May 22, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
9%
25°C
16%
26°C
37%
27°C
21%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 37%
27°C 22%
25°C 16%
24°C 9%
NEW
NEW
May 22, 2026
20°C or below
$72 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,070 Vol.
1%
22°C
$761 Vol.
1%
23°C
$413 Vol.
5%
24°C
$351 Vol.
9%
25°C
$398 Vol.
16%
26°C
$212 Vol.
37%
27°C
$138 Vol.
21%
28°C
$55 Vol.
5%
29°C
$35 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$89 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and European models indicate a daytime high near 25–26°C in Amsterdam on May 22, driven by a strengthening southwesterly flow that brings warmer air from the continent under mostly sunny skies with light winds. This setup favors the market’s leading 26°C outcome at 36.5% implied probability, as model consensus shows limited cloud cover and no significant frontal passage to suppress temperatures. Historical May climatology places the average daily maximum around 18–20°C, so the current pattern represents a notable warm anomaly consistent with recent model runs. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak, particularly any late-day cooling from increased marine influence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$3,541End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and European models indicate a daytime high near 25–26°C in Amsterdam on May 22, driven by a strengthening southwesterly flow that brings warmer air from the continent under mostly sunny skies with light winds. This setup favors the market’s leading 26°C outcome at 36.5% implied probability, as model consensus shows limited cloud cover and no significant frontal passage to suppress temperatures. Historical May climatology places the average daily maximum around 18–20°C, so the current pattern represents a notable warm anomaly consistent with recent model runs. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak, particularly any late-day cooling from increased marine influence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,541End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and European models indicate a daytime high near 25–26°C in Amsterdam on May 22, driven by a strengthening southwesterly flow that brings warmer air from the continent under mostly sunny skies with light winds. This setup favors the market’s leading 26°C outcome at 36.5% implied probability, as model consensus shows limited cloud cover and no significant frontal passage to suppress temperatures. Historical May climatology places the average daily maximum around 18–20°C, so the current pattern represents a notable warm anomaly consistent with recent model runs. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak, particularly any late-day cooling from increased marine influence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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