National Weather Service gauge measurements at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (Sea-Tac, station CLISEA) record 2.77 inches of total precipitation for April 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 96.8% implied probability for the 2.5-3 inch bin amid near-resolution certainty. This total, confirmed via daily climate reports accumulating steadily through April 29 with trace amounts on the 30th, mirrors Seattle's 1991-2020 April climatological average of about 2.8 inches, shaped by typical spring steering patterns from the Pacific bringing intermittent fronts rather than prolonged storms. Strong evidence from authoritative NWS data leaves scant room for divergence, though a rare post-audit correction—such as gauge recalibration—could theoretically challenge it; final monthly summary expected shortly.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Precipitaciones en Seattle en abril?
¿Precipitaciones en Seattle en abril?
2.5-3" 96.0%
3-3.5" <1%
4-4.5" <1%
4.5-5" <1%
$76,015 Vol.
$76,015 Vol.
<2.5"
<1%
2.5-3"
96%
3-3.5"
<1%
3.5-4"
<1%
4-4.5"
<1%
4.5-5"
<1%
>5"
<1%
2.5-3" 96.0%
3-3.5" <1%
4-4.5" <1%
4.5-5" <1%
$76,015 Vol.
$76,015 Vol.
<2.5"
<1%
2.5-3"
96%
3-3.5"
<1%
3.5-4"
<1%
4-4.5"
<1%
4.5-5"
<1%
>5"
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service gauge measurements at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (Sea-Tac, station CLISEA) record 2.77 inches of total precipitation for April 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 96.8% implied probability for the 2.5-3 inch bin amid near-resolution certainty. This total, confirmed via daily climate reports accumulating steadily through April 29 with trace amounts on the 30th, mirrors Seattle's 1991-2020 April climatological average of about 2.8 inches, shaped by typical spring steering patterns from the Pacific bringing intermittent fronts rather than prolonged storms. Strong evidence from authoritative NWS data leaves scant room for divergence, though a rare post-audit correction—such as gauge recalibration—could theoretically challenge it; final monthly summary expected shortly.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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