National Weather Service observations at Central Park, NOAA's official station for New York City, record just 2.12 inches of precipitation through April 27, 2026—well below the 3.6-inch 1991-2020 climatological normal—with no measurable rain on April 28 amid persistent high-pressure ridges and stable upper-air patterns. This dry month-to-date reality, including an exceptionally arid early April (only 0.35 inches through the 13th), drives the 91.5% market-implied probability for the 2-3 inch range, reflecting trader consensus on minimal upside from NOAA forecast models showing under 30% chances of significant precipitation on April 29-30 under neutral ENSO conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or stalled fronts adding 0.8+ inches in the final days, though model ensembles indicate low risk. Final NOAA monthly summary expected soon after April 30.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Precipitaciones en Nueva York en abril?
¿Precipitaciones en Nueva York en abril?
2-3" 98%
<2" 3.5%
3-4" 2.5%
4-5" 2.1%
$63,597 Vol.
$63,597 Vol.
30 abr 2026
<2"
4%
2-3"
90%
3-4"
7%
4-5"
2%
5-6"
1%
>6"
<1%
2-3" 98%
<2" 3.5%
3-4" 2.5%
4-5" 2.1%
$63,597 Vol.
$63,597 Vol.
30 abr 2026
<2"
$17,413 Vol.
4%
2-3"
$13,880 Vol.
90%
3-4"
$10,941 Vol.
7%
4-5"
$14,026 Vol.
2%
5-6"
$3,233 Vol.
1%
>6"
$4,114 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Central Park, NOAA's official station for New York City, record just 2.12 inches of precipitation through April 27, 2026—well below the 3.6-inch 1991-2020 climatological normal—with no measurable rain on April 28 amid persistent high-pressure ridges and stable upper-air patterns. This dry month-to-date reality, including an exceptionally arid early April (only 0.35 inches through the 13th), drives the 91.5% market-implied probability for the 2-3 inch range, reflecting trader consensus on minimal upside from NOAA forecast models showing under 30% chances of significant precipitation on April 29-30 under neutral ENSO conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or stalled fronts adding 0.8+ inches in the final days, though model ensembles indicate low risk. Final NOAA monthly summary expected soon after April 30.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Volumen
$63,597Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Central Park, NOAA's official station for New York City, record just 2.12 inches of precipitation through April 27, 2026—well below the 3.6-inch 1991-2020 climatological normal—with no measurable rain on April 28 amid persistent high-pressure ridges and stable upper-air patterns. This dry month-to-date reality, including an exceptionally arid early April (only 0.35 inches through the 13th), drives the 91.5% market-implied probability for the 2-3 inch range, reflecting trader consensus on minimal upside from NOAA forecast models showing under 30% chances of significant precipitation on April 29-30 under neutral ENSO conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or stalled fronts adding 0.8+ inches in the final days, though model ensembles indicate low risk. Final NOAA monthly summary expected soon after April 30.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$63,597Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service observations at Central Park, NOAA's official station for New York City, record just 2.12 inches of precipitation through April 27, 2026—well below the 3.6-inch 1991-2020 climatological normal—with no measurable rain on April 28 amid persistent high-pressure ridges and stable upper-air patterns. This dry month-to-date reality, including an exceptionally arid early April (only 0.35 inches through the 13th), drives the 91.5% market-implied probability for the 2-3 inch range, reflecting trader consensus on minimal upside from NOAA forecast models showing under 30% chances of significant precipitation on April 29-30 under neutral ENSO conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or stalled fronts adding 0.8+ inches in the final days, though model ensembles indicate low risk. Final NOAA monthly summary expected soon after April 30.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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