Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 50-51°F low in NYC on May 2, implied at 27%, closely trailed by 48-49°F at 22%, reflecting National Weather Service guidance forecasting a nighttime minimum around 48°F under partly cloudy skies and northwest winds at 7-9 mph. This positioning stems from post-frontal cooling after recent overcast conditions near 60°F, with light winds enabling modest radiational cooling at Central Park while urban heat moderates extremes. Model ensembles show spread—GFS runs cooler near 48°F, ECMWF warmer toward 50°F—hinging on overnight cloud evolution and exact wind mixing; historical May 2 averages hover at 50°F. New NWS updates and hourly observations from midnight onward will sharpen resolution amid typical short-range uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLowest temperature in NYC on May 2?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 2?
48-49°F 24%
50-51°F 22.1%
52-53°F 12%
46-47°F 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
39°F or below
1%
40-41°F
1%
42-43°F
3%
44-45°F
5%
46-47°F
9%
48-49°F
24%
50-51°F
22%
52-53°F
12%
54-55°F
6%
56-57°F
1%
58°F or higher
1%
48-49°F 24%
50-51°F 22.1%
52-53°F 12%
46-47°F 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
39°F or below
$4,214 Vol.
1%
40-41°F
$360 Vol.
1%
42-43°F
$711 Vol.
3%
44-45°F
$125 Vol.
5%
46-47°F
$156 Vol.
9%
48-49°F
$118 Vol.
24%
50-51°F
$295 Vol.
22%
52-53°F
$56 Vol.
12%
54-55°F
$72 Vol.
6%
56-57°F
$617 Vol.
1%
58°F or higher
$1,165 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 50-51°F low in NYC on May 2, implied at 27%, closely trailed by 48-49°F at 22%, reflecting National Weather Service guidance forecasting a nighttime minimum around 48°F under partly cloudy skies and northwest winds at 7-9 mph. This positioning stems from post-frontal cooling after recent overcast conditions near 60°F, with light winds enabling modest radiational cooling at Central Park while urban heat moderates extremes. Model ensembles show spread—GFS runs cooler near 48°F, ECMWF warmer toward 50°F—hinging on overnight cloud evolution and exact wind mixing; historical May 2 averages hover at 50°F. New NWS updates and hourly observations from midnight onward will sharpen resolution amid typical short-range uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$7,860Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 50-51°F low in NYC on May 2, implied at 27%, closely trailed by 48-49°F at 22%, reflecting National Weather Service guidance forecasting a nighttime minimum around 48°F under partly cloudy skies and northwest winds at 7-9 mph. This positioning stems from post-frontal cooling after recent overcast conditions near 60°F, with light winds enabling modest radiational cooling at Central Park while urban heat moderates extremes. Model ensembles show spread—GFS runs cooler near 48°F, ECMWF warmer toward 50°F—hinging on overnight cloud evolution and exact wind mixing; historical May 2 averages hover at 50°F. New NWS updates and hourly observations from midnight onward will sharpen resolution amid typical short-range uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,860Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 50-51°F low in NYC on May 2, implied at 27%, closely trailed by 48-49°F at 22%, reflecting National Weather Service guidance forecasting a nighttime minimum around 48°F under partly cloudy skies and northwest winds at 7-9 mph. This positioning stems from post-frontal cooling after recent overcast conditions near 60°F, with light winds enabling modest radiational cooling at Central Park while urban heat moderates extremes. Model ensembles show spread—GFS runs cooler near 48°F, ECMWF warmer toward 50°F—hinging on overnight cloud evolution and exact wind mixing; historical May 2 averages hover at 50°F. New NWS updates and hourly observations from midnight onward will sharpen resolution amid typical short-range uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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