Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance forecasting a Miami overnight low into May 2 around 74-77°F under partly cloudy skies with light south winds at 5-9 mph, limiting radiational cooling amid high dewpoints near 70°F observed recently at Miami International Airport (KMIA). This aligns with April 30's minimum of 73°F and early May climatology averaging 73°F lows, where urban heat island effects and persistent sea breeze moisture suppress deeper cooling. Closely matched leading outcomes hinge on subtle boundary layer differences—thicker cloud decks or stronger nocturnal winds could nudge toward 76-79°F, while clearer skies might dip to 74°F—highlighting model spread in GFS and ECMWF runs; final hourly updates and KMIA morning observations will clarify before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 2 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 2 de mayo?
74-75°F 29%
76-77°F 17%
78-79°F 15%
80-81°F 6.5%
71°F o menos
4%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F o más
<1%
74-75°F 29%
76-77°F 17%
78-79°F 15%
80-81°F 6.5%
71°F o menos
4%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance forecasting a Miami overnight low into May 2 around 74-77°F under partly cloudy skies with light south winds at 5-9 mph, limiting radiational cooling amid high dewpoints near 70°F observed recently at Miami International Airport (KMIA). This aligns with April 30's minimum of 73°F and early May climatology averaging 73°F lows, where urban heat island effects and persistent sea breeze moisture suppress deeper cooling. Closely matched leading outcomes hinge on subtle boundary layer differences—thicker cloud decks or stronger nocturnal winds could nudge toward 76-79°F, while clearer skies might dip to 74°F—highlighting model spread in GFS and ECMWF runs; final hourly updates and KMIA morning observations will clarify before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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