Latest forecast guidance from NOAA-affiliated models and commercial sources like AccuWeather points to an overnight low near 77°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA) on May 16, fueling trader consensus with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 25-26% across 73-85°F ranges amid significant short-range uncertainty. Key differentiators include persistent dewpoints around 73°F from Atlantic moisture, which cap radiative cooling, versus potential for light southerly winds (3-5 mph) to mix warmer air aloft or evening thunderstorm clearance enabling brief decoupling for sub-76°F dips. Historical mid-May normals hover at 74°F, but recent diurnal sea breeze patterns have sustained milder nights without notable anomalies in the past week. Watch NWS Miami updates and 12Z GFS/ECMWF runs on May 14 for shifts in cloud cover and boundary layer forecasts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 16 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 16 de mayo?
76-77°F 31%
78-79°F 28%
74-75°F 10%
80-81°F 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
73°F o menos
3%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
31%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F o más
<1%
76-77°F 31%
78-79°F 28%
74-75°F 10%
80-81°F 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
73°F o menos
$35 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
10%
76-77°F
$9 Vol.
31%
78-79°F
$23 Vol.
28%
80-81°F
$15 Vol.
15%
82-83°F
$50 Vol.
7%
84-85°F
$30 Vol.
3%
86-87°F
$155 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$472 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$292 Vol.
<1%
92°F o más
$228 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast guidance from NOAA-affiliated models and commercial sources like AccuWeather points to an overnight low near 77°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA) on May 16, fueling trader consensus with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 25-26% across 73-85°F ranges amid significant short-range uncertainty. Key differentiators include persistent dewpoints around 73°F from Atlantic moisture, which cap radiative cooling, versus potential for light southerly winds (3-5 mph) to mix warmer air aloft or evening thunderstorm clearance enabling brief decoupling for sub-76°F dips. Historical mid-May normals hover at 74°F, but recent diurnal sea breeze patterns have sustained milder nights without notable anomalies in the past week. Watch NWS Miami updates and 12Z GFS/ECMWF runs on May 14 for shifts in cloud cover and boundary layer forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$1,311Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast guidance from NOAA-affiliated models and commercial sources like AccuWeather points to an overnight low near 77°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA) on May 16, fueling trader consensus with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 25-26% across 73-85°F ranges amid significant short-range uncertainty. Key differentiators include persistent dewpoints around 73°F from Atlantic moisture, which cap radiative cooling, versus potential for light southerly winds (3-5 mph) to mix warmer air aloft or evening thunderstorm clearance enabling brief decoupling for sub-76°F dips. Historical mid-May normals hover at 74°F, but recent diurnal sea breeze patterns have sustained milder nights without notable anomalies in the past week. Watch NWS Miami updates and 12Z GFS/ECMWF runs on May 14 for shifts in cloud cover and boundary layer forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,311Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIALatest forecast guidance from NOAA-affiliated models and commercial sources like AccuWeather points to an overnight low near 77°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA) on May 16, fueling trader consensus with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 25-26% across 73-85°F ranges amid significant short-range uncertainty. Key differentiators include persistent dewpoints around 73°F from Atlantic moisture, which cap radiative cooling, versus potential for light southerly winds (3-5 mph) to mix warmer air aloft or evening thunderstorm clearance enabling brief decoupling for sub-76°F dips. Historical mid-May normals hover at 74°F, but recent diurnal sea breeze patterns have sustained milder nights without notable anomalies in the past week. Watch NWS Miami updates and 12Z GFS/ECMWF runs on May 14 for shifts in cloud cover and boundary layer forecasts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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