Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in ensemble forecasts for Paris's lowest temperature on May 17, with ECMWF and GFS models diverging on overnight cloud cover and light winds, yielding spreads from 5°C to 12°C and a slight edge for 8–9°C outcomes at 25.5%. Recent Météo-France guidance points to an unstable pattern persisting through the week of May 11–17, featuring showers and highs barely exceeding 19°C, which could trap heat under clouds or allow radiative cooling to 5–7°C if skies clear post-sunset at Paris-Le Bourget Airport. Historical May minima average 9–10°C, but current cool anomalies and frontal timing introduce variability; watch 00Z/12Z model updates for shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 17 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 17 de mayo?
10°C 27%
9°C 23%
8°C 21%
12°C o más 21%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 may 2026
2°C o menos
1%
3°C
1%
4°C
3%
5°C
3%
6°C
4%
7°C
19%
8°C
21%
9°C
23%
10°C
27%
11°C
13%
12°C o más
14%
10°C 27%
9°C 23%
8°C 21%
12°C o más 21%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 may 2026
2°C o menos
$50 Vol.
1%
3°C
$50 Vol.
1%
4°C
$4 Vol.
3%
5°C
$4 Vol.
3%
6°C
$4 Vol.
4%
7°C
$4 Vol.
19%
8°C
$4 Vol.
21%
9°C
$4 Vol.
23%
10°C
$4 Vol.
27%
11°C
$9 Vol.
13%
12°C o más
$33 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in ensemble forecasts for Paris's lowest temperature on May 17, with ECMWF and GFS models diverging on overnight cloud cover and light winds, yielding spreads from 5°C to 12°C and a slight edge for 8–9°C outcomes at 25.5%. Recent Météo-France guidance points to an unstable pattern persisting through the week of May 11–17, featuring showers and highs barely exceeding 19°C, which could trap heat under clouds or allow radiative cooling to 5–7°C if skies clear post-sunset at Paris-Le Bourget Airport. Historical May minima average 9–10°C, but current cool anomalies and frontal timing introduce variability; watch 00Z/12Z model updates for shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Volumen
$173Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in ensemble forecasts for Paris's lowest temperature on May 17, with ECMWF and GFS models diverging on overnight cloud cover and light winds, yielding spreads from 5°C to 12°C and a slight edge for 8–9°C outcomes at 25.5%. Recent Météo-France guidance points to an unstable pattern persisting through the week of May 11–17, featuring showers and highs barely exceeding 19°C, which could trap heat under clouds or allow radiative cooling to 5–7°C if skies clear post-sunset at Paris-Le Bourget Airport. Historical May minima average 9–10°C, but current cool anomalies and frontal timing introduce variability; watch 00Z/12Z model updates for shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$173Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in ensemble forecasts for Paris's lowest temperature on May 17, with ECMWF and GFS models diverging on overnight cloud cover and light winds, yielding spreads from 5°C to 12°C and a slight edge for 8–9°C outcomes at 25.5%. Recent Météo-France guidance points to an unstable pattern persisting through the week of May 11–17, featuring showers and highs barely exceeding 19°C, which could trap heat under clouds or allow radiative cooling to 5–7°C if skies clear post-sunset at Paris-Le Bourget Airport. Historical May minima average 9–10°C, but current cool anomalies and frontal timing introduce variability; watch 00Z/12Z model updates for shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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