BMKG's latest forecast update for DKI Jakarta on May 15 projects mostly cloudy conditions (berawan) with isolated light rain (hujan ringan), yielding official temperature ranges of 24–30°C across districts and high humidity of 70–96%, capping potential highs amid the transition to Indonesia's early 2026 dry season. Trader consensus favors 33°C (39.5% implied probability), followed by 32°C (27%), reflecting urban heat island amplification at Halim Perdanakusuma Airport—the resolution station—where May climatology averages 31–33°C despite cloud suppression. Recent May 13 observations hit only 26–30°C under persistent overcast skies, down from earlier monthly peaks near 35°C, underscoring model uncertainty in afternoon clearing; final hourly data from BMKG will clarify outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 15?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 15?
33°C 38%
32°C 27%
34°C 15%
31°C 10.9%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
8%
31°C
11%
32°C
27%
33°C
38%
34°C
15%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 38%
32°C 27%
34°C 15%
31°C 10.9%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
8%
31°C
11%
32°C
27%
33°C
38%
34°C
15%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 1:11 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...BMKG's latest forecast update for DKI Jakarta on May 15 projects mostly cloudy conditions (berawan) with isolated light rain (hujan ringan), yielding official temperature ranges of 24–30°C across districts and high humidity of 70–96%, capping potential highs amid the transition to Indonesia's early 2026 dry season. Trader consensus favors 33°C (39.5% implied probability), followed by 32°C (27%), reflecting urban heat island amplification at Halim Perdanakusuma Airport—the resolution station—where May climatology averages 31–33°C despite cloud suppression. Recent May 13 observations hit only 26–30°C under persistent overcast skies, down from earlier monthly peaks near 35°C, underscoring model uncertainty in afternoon clearing; final hourly data from BMKG will clarify outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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