The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Metropolitan Miami-Dade County calls for mid-70s lows overnight May 14-15 under partly cloudy skies transitioning to mostly clear, with light west winds at 5-10 mph promoting modest radiative cooling after recent showers clear out. This aligns with trader consensus pricing 74-75°F at 35.5% implied probability, as high dewpoints near 70°F from persistent Atlantic moisture cap sharper drops, while climatological May normals hover around 73°F at Miami International Airport. Prior nights saw warmer minimums near 80°F due to cloud cover; drier high-pressure ridging now favors the mid-70s cluster. New hourly guidance and evening soundings expected Thursday afternoon could refine model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles amid typical sea-breeze influences.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLowest temperature in Miami on May 15?
Lowest temperature in Miami on May 15?
74-75°F 36%
78-79°F 20.6%
76-77°F 17%
72-73°F 12%
67°F o menos
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
36%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F o más
1%
74-75°F 36%
78-79°F 20.6%
76-77°F 17%
72-73°F 12%
67°F o menos
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
36%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Metropolitan Miami-Dade County calls for mid-70s lows overnight May 14-15 under partly cloudy skies transitioning to mostly clear, with light west winds at 5-10 mph promoting modest radiative cooling after recent showers clear out. This aligns with trader consensus pricing 74-75°F at 35.5% implied probability, as high dewpoints near 70°F from persistent Atlantic moisture cap sharper drops, while climatological May normals hover around 73°F at Miami International Airport. Prior nights saw warmer minimums near 80°F due to cloud cover; drier high-pressure ridging now favors the mid-70s cluster. New hourly guidance and evening soundings expected Thursday afternoon could refine model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles amid typical sea-breeze influences.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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