Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high of 32°C or higher (83.5% implied probability) at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, driven by the latest short-range forecast models like GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime peaks of 32–34°C under a stable high-pressure ridge and light winds promoting efficient solar heating. Recent observations over the past week have consistently delivered highs near or above 32°C, aligning with May's climatological average of 31°C where 70–80% of days exceed 30°C during the dry-to-wet season transition, though frequent afternoon convection adds minor uncertainty. Lower outcomes like 31°C (11.5%) reflect potential shower interference capping heating, with model ensembles showing low precipitation risk. Evening updates from ETESA and local monitoring will refine tomorrow's outlook ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Panama City on May 15?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 15?
32°C or higher 85%
31°C 12%
30°C 5.5%
29°C 1.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 may 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
85%
32°C or higher 85%
31°C 12%
30°C 5.5%
29°C 1.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 may 2026
22°C or below
$1,019 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$609 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$472 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$428 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$593 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$327 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$481 Vol.
1%
29°C
$341 Vol.
1%
30°C
$877 Vol.
6%
31°C
$459 Vol.
12%
32°C or higher
$372 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high of 32°C or higher (83.5% implied probability) at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, driven by the latest short-range forecast models like GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime peaks of 32–34°C under a stable high-pressure ridge and light winds promoting efficient solar heating. Recent observations over the past week have consistently delivered highs near or above 32°C, aligning with May's climatological average of 31°C where 70–80% of days exceed 30°C during the dry-to-wet season transition, though frequent afternoon convection adds minor uncertainty. Lower outcomes like 31°C (11.5%) reflect potential shower interference capping heating, with model ensembles showing low precipitation risk. Evening updates from ETESA and local monitoring will refine tomorrow's outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 1:06 AM ET
Volumen
$5,978Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 1:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high of 32°C or higher (83.5% implied probability) at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, driven by the latest short-range forecast models like GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime peaks of 32–34°C under a stable high-pressure ridge and light winds promoting efficient solar heating. Recent observations over the past week have consistently delivered highs near or above 32°C, aligning with May's climatological average of 31°C where 70–80% of days exceed 30°C during the dry-to-wet season transition, though frequent afternoon convection adds minor uncertainty. Lower outcomes like 31°C (11.5%) reflect potential shower interference capping heating, with model ensembles showing low precipitation risk. Evening updates from ETESA and local monitoring will refine tomorrow's outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$5,978Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 1:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high of 32°C or higher (83.5% implied probability) at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, driven by the latest short-range forecast models like GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime peaks of 32–34°C under a stable high-pressure ridge and light winds promoting efficient solar heating. Recent observations over the past week have consistently delivered highs near or above 32°C, aligning with May's climatological average of 31°C where 70–80% of days exceed 30°C during the dry-to-wet season transition, though frequent afternoon convection adds minor uncertainty. Lower outcomes like 31°C (11.5%) reflect potential shower interference capping heating, with model ensembles showing low precipitation risk. Evening updates from ETESA and local monitoring will refine tomorrow's outlook ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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