The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast for Taipei on May 15 indicates a daytime high of 25°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 20% chance of showers, reflecting persistent moisture from a weakening frontal system and east-northeasterly winds limiting solar heating. However, global models like GFS and ECMWF show divergence, with some ensemble members projecting 26-28°C if partial clearing allows greater insolation amid high humidity (around 80-90%). Trader consensus, implied by tight probabilities across 26-28°C outcomes, captures this short-range uncertainty typical in Taipei's humid subtropical climate during early Mei-yu influences, where urban heat and sea breezes can push peaks higher. Watch for CWA's next update and morning observations, as cloud evolution will be decisive before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on May 15?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 15?
27°C 26%
26°C 19%
28°C 19%
29°C 17%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
13%
26°C
19%
27°C
26%
28°C
19%
29°C
17%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
3%
27°C 26%
26°C 19%
28°C 19%
29°C 17%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
13%
26°C
19%
27°C
26%
28°C
19%
29°C
17%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast for Taipei on May 15 indicates a daytime high of 25°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 20% chance of showers, reflecting persistent moisture from a weakening frontal system and east-northeasterly winds limiting solar heating. However, global models like GFS and ECMWF show divergence, with some ensemble members projecting 26-28°C if partial clearing allows greater insolation amid high humidity (around 80-90%). Trader consensus, implied by tight probabilities across 26-28°C outcomes, captures this short-range uncertainty typical in Taipei's humid subtropical climate during early Mei-yu influences, where urban heat and sea breezes can push peaks higher. Watch for CWA's next update and morning observations, as cloud evolution will be decisive before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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