PAGASA's latest 5-day outlook forecasts a high of 34°C in Metro Manila on May 15 under easterlies delivering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms and zero percent rain chance in extended projections, yet trader consensus favors 36°C (35.5%) slightly over 35°C (31.0%) due to recent observations exceeding model guidance—May 14's expected peak at 35°C and prior days hitting 36–37°C amid urban heat island effects and prolonged sunshine. Differentiating factors include afternoon radiative heating potential under low cloud cover, sea breeze timing that could cap or boost peaks by 1–2°C, and historical May climatology where averages hover near 33°C but dry spells routinely yield 35–36°C maxima at Quezon City stations. Updated advisories expected before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Manila on May 15?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 15?
36°C 36%
35°C 32%
34°C 21%
37°C 11.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 may 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
21%
35°C
32%
36°C
36%
37°C
12%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 36%
35°C 32%
34°C 21%
37°C 11.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 may 2026
29°C or below
$275 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$348 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$144 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$221 Vol.
1%
33°C
$330 Vol.
5%
34°C
$424 Vol.
21%
35°C
$118 Vol.
32%
36°C
$389 Vol.
36%
37°C
$757 Vol.
12%
38°C
$138 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$141 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest 5-day outlook forecasts a high of 34°C in Metro Manila on May 15 under easterlies delivering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms and zero percent rain chance in extended projections, yet trader consensus favors 36°C (35.5%) slightly over 35°C (31.0%) due to recent observations exceeding model guidance—May 14's expected peak at 35°C and prior days hitting 36–37°C amid urban heat island effects and prolonged sunshine. Differentiating factors include afternoon radiative heating potential under low cloud cover, sea breeze timing that could cap or boost peaks by 1–2°C, and historical May climatology where averages hover near 33°C but dry spells routinely yield 35–36°C maxima at Quezon City stations. Updated advisories expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volumen
$3,286Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest 5-day outlook forecasts a high of 34°C in Metro Manila on May 15 under easterlies delivering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms and zero percent rain chance in extended projections, yet trader consensus favors 36°C (35.5%) slightly over 35°C (31.0%) due to recent observations exceeding model guidance—May 14's expected peak at 35°C and prior days hitting 36–37°C amid urban heat island effects and prolonged sunshine. Differentiating factors include afternoon radiative heating potential under low cloud cover, sea breeze timing that could cap or boost peaks by 1–2°C, and historical May climatology where averages hover near 33°C but dry spells routinely yield 35–36°C maxima at Quezon City stations. Updated advisories expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,286Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's latest 5-day outlook forecasts a high of 34°C in Metro Manila on May 15 under easterlies delivering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms and zero percent rain chance in extended projections, yet trader consensus favors 36°C (35.5%) slightly over 35°C (31.0%) due to recent observations exceeding model guidance—May 14's expected peak at 35°C and prior days hitting 36–37°C amid urban heat island effects and prolonged sunshine. Differentiating factors include afternoon radiative heating potential under low cloud cover, sea breeze timing that could cap or boost peaks by 1–2°C, and historical May climatology where averages hover near 33°C but dry spells routinely yield 35–36°C maxima at Quezon City stations. Updated advisories expected before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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