Latest short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, place Wuhan's May 15 high temperature in the 28-30°C range, fueling tight trader sentiment with 29°C at 31.5% implied probability and 28°C at 25.5%. This clustering reflects consensus on southerly winds and high pressure aloft delivering above-climatological warmth—May averages hover around 26.5°C—but with 1-2°C spread from variable afternoon cloud cover and possible showers, which could cap peak heating. Urban heat island effects at the official CMA station may nudge readings higher, while historical mid-May maxima rarely exceed 32°C. Key resolution hinges on verified station data by midnight UTC; watch evening model updates for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 15?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 15?
29°C 32%
28°C 27%
30°C 15%
31°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 may 2026
26°C or below
4%
27°C
13%
28°C
27%
29°C
32%
30°C
15%
31°C
15%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 32%
28°C 27%
30°C 15%
31°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 may 2026
26°C or below
$791 Vol.
4%
27°C
$242 Vol.
13%
28°C
$219 Vol.
27%
29°C
$254 Vol.
32%
30°C
$375 Vol.
15%
31°C
$507 Vol.
15%
32°C
$350 Vol.
1%
33°C
$387 Vol.
1%
34°C
$430 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$446 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$516 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, place Wuhan's May 15 high temperature in the 28-30°C range, fueling tight trader sentiment with 29°C at 31.5% implied probability and 28°C at 25.5%. This clustering reflects consensus on southerly winds and high pressure aloft delivering above-climatological warmth—May averages hover around 26.5°C—but with 1-2°C spread from variable afternoon cloud cover and possible showers, which could cap peak heating. Urban heat island effects at the official CMA station may nudge readings higher, while historical mid-May maxima rarely exceed 32°C. Key resolution hinges on verified station data by midnight UTC; watch evening model updates for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 1:11 AM ET
Volumen
$4,493Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 1:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, place Wuhan's May 15 high temperature in the 28-30°C range, fueling tight trader sentiment with 29°C at 31.5% implied probability and 28°C at 25.5%. This clustering reflects consensus on southerly winds and high pressure aloft delivering above-climatological warmth—May averages hover around 26.5°C—but with 1-2°C spread from variable afternoon cloud cover and possible showers, which could cap peak heating. Urban heat island effects at the official CMA station may nudge readings higher, while historical mid-May maxima rarely exceed 32°C. Key resolution hinges on verified station data by midnight UTC; watch evening model updates for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$4,493Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 1:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, place Wuhan's May 15 high temperature in the 28-30°C range, fueling tight trader sentiment with 29°C at 31.5% implied probability and 28°C at 25.5%. This clustering reflects consensus on southerly winds and high pressure aloft delivering above-climatological warmth—May averages hover around 26.5°C—but with 1-2°C spread from variable afternoon cloud cover and possible showers, which could cap peak heating. Urban heat island effects at the official CMA station may nudge readings higher, while historical mid-May maxima rarely exceed 32°C. Key resolution hinges on verified station data by midnight UTC; watch evening model updates for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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