Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight forecast spread for Milan's highest temperature on May 15, with ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS projecting 14–16°C amid a persistent low-pressure system over northern Italy delivering cloudy skies, light rain showers, and northeasterly winds limiting solar heating. Recent developments include a sharp drop from 18–20°C highs earlier this week, driven by thundery showers on May 14 and cool air advection, well below the mid-May climatological average of 22°C. Differentiating factors hinge on precipitation timing and cloud breaks—prolonged overcast conditions favor 14°C, while partial clearing could nudge toward 16°C. Watch late-day model updates and Milan Linate Airport observations for resolution cues.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on May 15?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 15?
14°C 27%
15°C 25%
16°C 20%
17°C 15%
NUEVO
$15,483 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,483 Vol.
15 may 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
10%
14°C
27%
15°C
25%
16°C
20%
17°C
15%
18°C
6%
19°C or higher
2%
14°C 27%
15°C 25%
16°C 20%
17°C 15%
NUEVO
$15,483 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,483 Vol.
15 may 2026
9°C or below
$780 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,971 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,452 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,292 Vol.
2%
13°C
$1,153 Vol.
10%
14°C
$1,704 Vol.
27%
15°C
$1,200 Vol.
25%
16°C
$857 Vol.
20%
17°C
$1,071 Vol.
15%
18°C
$2,087 Vol.
6%
19°C or higher
$1,929 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight forecast spread for Milan's highest temperature on May 15, with ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS projecting 14–16°C amid a persistent low-pressure system over northern Italy delivering cloudy skies, light rain showers, and northeasterly winds limiting solar heating. Recent developments include a sharp drop from 18–20°C highs earlier this week, driven by thundery showers on May 14 and cool air advection, well below the mid-May climatological average of 22°C. Differentiating factors hinge on precipitation timing and cloud breaks—prolonged overcast conditions favor 14°C, while partial clearing could nudge toward 16°C. Watch late-day model updates and Milan Linate Airport observations for resolution cues.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$15,483Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight forecast spread for Milan's highest temperature on May 15, with ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS projecting 14–16°C amid a persistent low-pressure system over northern Italy delivering cloudy skies, light rain showers, and northeasterly winds limiting solar heating. Recent developments include a sharp drop from 18–20°C highs earlier this week, driven by thundery showers on May 14 and cool air advection, well below the mid-May climatological average of 22°C. Differentiating factors hinge on precipitation timing and cloud breaks—prolonged overcast conditions favor 14°C, while partial clearing could nudge toward 16°C. Watch late-day model updates and Milan Linate Airport observations for resolution cues.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$15,483Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight forecast spread for Milan's highest temperature on May 15, with ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS projecting 14–16°C amid a persistent low-pressure system over northern Italy delivering cloudy skies, light rain showers, and northeasterly winds limiting solar heating. Recent developments include a sharp drop from 18–20°C highs earlier this week, driven by thundery showers on May 14 and cool air advection, well below the mid-May climatological average of 22°C. Differentiating factors hinge on precipitation timing and cloud breaks—prolonged overcast conditions favor 14°C, while partial clearing could nudge toward 16°C. Watch late-day model updates and Milan Linate Airport observations for resolution cues.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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