Latest National Weather Service forecast guidance and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF project Miami's lowest temperature on May 14 around 75°F, fueling the tight trader consensus with 74-75°F at 37.5% implied probability and 76-77°F at 30.5%. Differentiating factors include anticipated radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds favoring the lower bin, countered by persistent sea breeze moisture and urban heat island effects potentially holding minimums higher; dewpoint temperatures near 72°F limit deeper cooling. Amid ENSO-neutral conditions transitioning to likely El Niño by late spring—historically linked to warmer Florida baselines—May averages hover near 76°F. Evening observations and 00Z model runs will sharpen resolution before dawn low.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 14 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 14 de mayo?
74-75°F 52%
76-77°F 38%
72-73°F 10%
78-79°F 7.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 may 2026
67°F o menos
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
38%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F o más
<1%
74-75°F 52%
76-77°F 38%
72-73°F 10%
78-79°F 7.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 may 2026
67°F o menos
$392 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$534 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$182 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$157 Vol.
10%
74-75°F
$173 Vol.
38%
76-77°F
$183 Vol.
32%
78-79°F
$115 Vol.
8%
80-81°F
$671 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$526 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$531 Vol.
<1%
86°F o más
$521 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecast guidance and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF project Miami's lowest temperature on May 14 around 75°F, fueling the tight trader consensus with 74-75°F at 37.5% implied probability and 76-77°F at 30.5%. Differentiating factors include anticipated radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds favoring the lower bin, countered by persistent sea breeze moisture and urban heat island effects potentially holding minimums higher; dewpoint temperatures near 72°F limit deeper cooling. Amid ENSO-neutral conditions transitioning to likely El Niño by late spring—historically linked to warmer Florida baselines—May averages hover near 76°F. Evening observations and 00Z model runs will sharpen resolution before dawn low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Volumen
$3,976Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecast guidance and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF project Miami's lowest temperature on May 14 around 75°F, fueling the tight trader consensus with 74-75°F at 37.5% implied probability and 76-77°F at 30.5%. Differentiating factors include anticipated radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds favoring the lower bin, countered by persistent sea breeze moisture and urban heat island effects potentially holding minimums higher; dewpoint temperatures near 72°F limit deeper cooling. Amid ENSO-neutral conditions transitioning to likely El Niño by late spring—historically linked to warmer Florida baselines—May averages hover near 76°F. Evening observations and 00Z model runs will sharpen resolution before dawn low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,976Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecast guidance and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF project Miami's lowest temperature on May 14 around 75°F, fueling the tight trader consensus with 74-75°F at 37.5% implied probability and 76-77°F at 30.5%. Differentiating factors include anticipated radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds favoring the lower bin, countered by persistent sea breeze moisture and urban heat island effects potentially holding minimums higher; dewpoint temperatures near 72°F limit deeper cooling. Amid ENSO-neutral conditions transitioning to likely El Niño by late spring—historically linked to warmer Florida baselines—May averages hover near 76°F. Evening observations and 00Z model runs will sharpen resolution before dawn low.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes