Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast indicates a daily temperature range of 23–26°C on May 17 under east-to-southeast winds and cloudy skies with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms, implying a minimum near 23°C amid high relative humidity (80–95%) that curbs radiative cooling. Trader consensus reflects this guidance with tightly clustered implied probabilities around 24–25°C (26%), but spreads to 20–27°C due to medium-range forecast uncertainty—clouds could trap heat for higher mins, while brief clearing might allow dips to 23°C or below. Southeasterly steering from a lingering trough adds variability, consistent with May climatology where urban heat island and sea breezes yield average lows near 24°C. Watch for HKO's next update in 12 hours for refined model runs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 17 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 17 de mayo?
24°C 30%
23°C 28%
25°C 28%
26°C 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 may 2026
18°C o menos
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
18%
23°C
28%
24°C
30%
25°C
28%
26°C
19%
27°C
3%
28°C o más
1%
24°C 30%
23°C 28%
25°C 28%
26°C 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 may 2026
18°C o menos
$287 Vol.
1%
19°C
$345 Vol.
1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
4%
21°C
$0 Vol.
4%
22°C
$0 Vol.
18%
23°C
$1 Vol.
28%
24°C
$0 Vol.
30%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$0 Vol.
19%
27°C
$59 Vol.
3%
28°C o más
$416 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast indicates a daily temperature range of 23–26°C on May 17 under east-to-southeast winds and cloudy skies with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms, implying a minimum near 23°C amid high relative humidity (80–95%) that curbs radiative cooling. Trader consensus reflects this guidance with tightly clustered implied probabilities around 24–25°C (26%), but spreads to 20–27°C due to medium-range forecast uncertainty—clouds could trap heat for higher mins, while brief clearing might allow dips to 23°C or below. Southeasterly steering from a lingering trough adds variability, consistent with May climatology where urban heat island and sea breezes yield average lows near 24°C. Watch for HKO's next update in 12 hours for refined model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Volumen
$1,109Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast indicates a daily temperature range of 23–26°C on May 17 under east-to-southeast winds and cloudy skies with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms, implying a minimum near 23°C amid high relative humidity (80–95%) that curbs radiative cooling. Trader consensus reflects this guidance with tightly clustered implied probabilities around 24–25°C (26%), but spreads to 20–27°C due to medium-range forecast uncertainty—clouds could trap heat for higher mins, while brief clearing might allow dips to 23°C or below. Southeasterly steering from a lingering trough adds variability, consistent with May climatology where urban heat island and sea breezes yield average lows near 24°C. Watch for HKO's next update in 12 hours for refined model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,109Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETHong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast indicates a daily temperature range of 23–26°C on May 17 under east-to-southeast winds and cloudy skies with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms, implying a minimum near 23°C amid high relative humidity (80–95%) that curbs radiative cooling. Trader consensus reflects this guidance with tightly clustered implied probabilities around 24–25°C (26%), but spreads to 20–27°C due to medium-range forecast uncertainty—clouds could trap heat for higher mins, while brief clearing might allow dips to 23°C or below. Southeasterly steering from a lingering trough adds variability, consistent with May climatology where urban heat island and sea breezes yield average lows near 24°C. Watch for HKO's next update in 12 hours for refined model runs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes