The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast for May 1 pegs Taipei's high temperature at 25°C under mostly cloudy conditions with 20-30% precipitation chances, anchoring trader sentiment with 25°C leading at 31.5% implied probability and 24°C close behind at 27.5%. Persistent cloud cover limits solar insolation, potentially capping peaks at 24°C if showers intensify, while brief clearings could push toward 26°C (13.5%); recent northern Taiwan cools (22-23°C on April 30) and above-average spring temperatures add variability. Early May climatology averages 26°C at Songshan Airport, but model uncertainty near resolution heightens the tight race—final hourly observations will decide.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on May 1?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 1?
25°C 34%
24°C 30%
23°C 20%
26°C 13%
NUEVO
$17,843 Vol.
NUEVO
$17,843 Vol.
1 may 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
20%
24°C
30%
25°C
34%
26°C
13%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
1%
25°C 34%
24°C 30%
23°C 20%
26°C 13%
NUEVO
$17,843 Vol.
NUEVO
$17,843 Vol.
1 may 2026
18°C or below
$313 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$899 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,197 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$4,076 Vol.
3%
23°C
$1,946 Vol.
20%
24°C
$1,416 Vol.
30%
25°C
$1,449 Vol.
34%
26°C
$1,596 Vol.
13%
27°C
$1,339 Vol.
5%
28°C or higher
$2,496 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast for May 1 pegs Taipei's high temperature at 25°C under mostly cloudy conditions with 20-30% precipitation chances, anchoring trader sentiment with 25°C leading at 31.5% implied probability and 24°C close behind at 27.5%. Persistent cloud cover limits solar insolation, potentially capping peaks at 24°C if showers intensify, while brief clearings could push toward 26°C (13.5%); recent northern Taiwan cools (22-23°C on April 30) and above-average spring temperatures add variability. Early May climatology averages 26°C at Songshan Airport, but model uncertainty near resolution heightens the tight race—final hourly observations will decide.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$17,843Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast for May 1 pegs Taipei's high temperature at 25°C under mostly cloudy conditions with 20-30% precipitation chances, anchoring trader sentiment with 25°C leading at 31.5% implied probability and 24°C close behind at 27.5%. Persistent cloud cover limits solar insolation, potentially capping peaks at 24°C if showers intensify, while brief clearings could push toward 26°C (13.5%); recent northern Taiwan cools (22-23°C on April 30) and above-average spring temperatures add variability. Early May climatology averages 26°C at Songshan Airport, but model uncertainty near resolution heightens the tight race—final hourly observations will decide.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$17,843Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast for May 1 pegs Taipei's high temperature at 25°C under mostly cloudy conditions with 20-30% precipitation chances, anchoring trader sentiment with 25°C leading at 31.5% implied probability and 24°C close behind at 27.5%. Persistent cloud cover limits solar insolation, potentially capping peaks at 24°C if showers intensify, while brief clearings could push toward 26°C (13.5%); recent northern Taiwan cools (22-23°C on April 30) and above-average spring temperatures add variability. Early May climatology averages 26°C at Songshan Airport, but model uncertainty near resolution heightens the tight race—final hourly observations will decide.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes