Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 22°C at 37.5% implied probability for London City Airport's highest temperature on May 2, closely trailed by 21°C (29%) and 23°C (23.4%), reflecting tight forecast model spreads amid a high-pressure ridge fostering southerly winds and sunny intervals. The Met Office's latest update (9:41am May 1) projects a 23°C peak with variable cloud and gusts to 18mph, while BBC Weather indicates 22°C under light drizzle risks and 7mph south-westerlies, highlighting uncertainty in cloud cover and insolation that could shave 1-2°C off maxima. Above-average warmth persists from recent records, but patchy low cloud may differentiate outcomes; evening model runs from ECMWF and GFS will refine guidance before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in London on May 2?
Highest temperature in London on May 2?
22°C 38%
21°C 29%
23°C 23.3%
24°C 6.3%
NUEVO
$56,154 Vol.
NUEVO
$56,154 Vol.
2 may 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
29%
22°C
38%
23°C
23%
24°C
6%
25°C or higher
1%
22°C 38%
21°C 29%
23°C 23.3%
24°C 6.3%
NUEVO
$56,154 Vol.
NUEVO
$56,154 Vol.
2 may 2026
15°C or below
$7,428 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$6,555 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$5,502 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$5,161 Vol.
1%
19°C
$4,967 Vol.
1%
20°C
$4,471 Vol.
4%
21°C
$3,539 Vol.
29%
22°C
$4,930 Vol.
38%
23°C
$4,420 Vol.
23%
24°C
$5,965 Vol.
6%
25°C or higher
$3,534 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 22°C at 37.5% implied probability for London City Airport's highest temperature on May 2, closely trailed by 21°C (29%) and 23°C (23.4%), reflecting tight forecast model spreads amid a high-pressure ridge fostering southerly winds and sunny intervals. The Met Office's latest update (9:41am May 1) projects a 23°C peak with variable cloud and gusts to 18mph, while BBC Weather indicates 22°C under light drizzle risks and 7mph south-westerlies, highlighting uncertainty in cloud cover and insolation that could shave 1-2°C off maxima. Above-average warmth persists from recent records, but patchy low cloud may differentiate outcomes; evening model runs from ECMWF and GFS will refine guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$56,154Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 22°C at 37.5% implied probability for London City Airport's highest temperature on May 2, closely trailed by 21°C (29%) and 23°C (23.4%), reflecting tight forecast model spreads amid a high-pressure ridge fostering southerly winds and sunny intervals. The Met Office's latest update (9:41am May 1) projects a 23°C peak with variable cloud and gusts to 18mph, while BBC Weather indicates 22°C under light drizzle risks and 7mph south-westerlies, highlighting uncertainty in cloud cover and insolation that could shave 1-2°C off maxima. Above-average warmth persists from recent records, but patchy low cloud may differentiate outcomes; evening model runs from ECMWF and GFS will refine guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$56,154Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 22°C at 37.5% implied probability for London City Airport's highest temperature on May 2, closely trailed by 21°C (29%) and 23°C (23.4%), reflecting tight forecast model spreads amid a high-pressure ridge fostering southerly winds and sunny intervals. The Met Office's latest update (9:41am May 1) projects a 23°C peak with variable cloud and gusts to 18mph, while BBC Weather indicates 22°C under light drizzle risks and 7mph south-westerlies, highlighting uncertainty in cloud cover and insolation that could shave 1-2°C off maxima. Above-average warmth persists from recent records, but patchy low cloud may differentiate outcomes; evening model runs from ECMWF and GFS will refine guidance before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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