Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 37°C or higher at 56.5% for Karachi on May 1, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's recent alert for mild heatwave conditions across southern Pakistan from April 29 to May 3, with temperatures 4–6°C above seasonal norms of around 35°C. AccuWeather forecasts a daytime high of 38°C under hazy sunshine and light winds, amid persistent high-pressure systems suppressing sea breezes and fueling pre-monsoon heat. Late April saw Karachi highs reaching 37°C with elevated heat indices up to 41°C, reinforcing upward momentum. However, model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show some spread, and a late sea breeze could limit peaks to 36°C (27% implied odds); watch PMD's final update today for resolution shifts based on official airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Karachi on May 1?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 1?
37°C or higher 55%
36°C 28%
35°C 7%
34°C 2.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
7%
36°C
28%
37°C or higher
55%
37°C or higher 55%
36°C 28%
35°C 7%
34°C 2.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
27°C or below
$609 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$756 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$580 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$308 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$333 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,063 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,322 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$981 Vol.
2%
35°C
$769 Vol.
7%
36°C
$411 Vol.
28%
37°C or higher
$338 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 37°C or higher at 56.5% for Karachi on May 1, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's recent alert for mild heatwave conditions across southern Pakistan from April 29 to May 3, with temperatures 4–6°C above seasonal norms of around 35°C. AccuWeather forecasts a daytime high of 38°C under hazy sunshine and light winds, amid persistent high-pressure systems suppressing sea breezes and fueling pre-monsoon heat. Late April saw Karachi highs reaching 37°C with elevated heat indices up to 41°C, reinforcing upward momentum. However, model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show some spread, and a late sea breeze could limit peaks to 36°C (27% implied odds); watch PMD's final update today for resolution shifts based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$7,404Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 37°C or higher at 56.5% for Karachi on May 1, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's recent alert for mild heatwave conditions across southern Pakistan from April 29 to May 3, with temperatures 4–6°C above seasonal norms of around 35°C. AccuWeather forecasts a daytime high of 38°C under hazy sunshine and light winds, amid persistent high-pressure systems suppressing sea breezes and fueling pre-monsoon heat. Late April saw Karachi highs reaching 37°C with elevated heat indices up to 41°C, reinforcing upward momentum. However, model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show some spread, and a late sea breeze could limit peaks to 36°C (27% implied odds); watch PMD's final update today for resolution shifts based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,404Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 37°C or higher at 56.5% for Karachi on May 1, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's recent alert for mild heatwave conditions across southern Pakistan from April 29 to May 3, with temperatures 4–6°C above seasonal norms of around 35°C. AccuWeather forecasts a daytime high of 38°C under hazy sunshine and light winds, amid persistent high-pressure systems suppressing sea breezes and fueling pre-monsoon heat. Late April saw Karachi highs reaching 37°C with elevated heat indices up to 41°C, reinforcing upward momentum. However, model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show some spread, and a late sea breeze could limit peaks to 36°C (27% implied odds); watch PMD's final update today for resolution shifts based on official airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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