The National Weather Service forecast consensus for Denver indicates a daytime high near 61°F on May 1 under partly cloudy skies with only a slight chance (20%) of lingering showers, positioning the 58°F or higher outcome at an 82.8% market-implied probability as traders anticipate standard diurnal heating at the city's 5,280-foot elevation following a recent cold frontal passage. Over the past 48 hours, showers and light snow in the nearby foothills cooled overnight lows to the upper 30s, but building high pressure aloft and light northerly winds favor a mild rebound above climatological May 1 norms of around 65°F. Model runs from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre show tight agreement on this trajectory, though any persistent cloud cover could trim peaks toward the mid-50s; hourly observations from Denver International Airport will refine outcomes this afternoon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on May 1?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 1?
58°F or higher 83.7%
56-57°F 12%
54-55°F 2.0%
52-53°F <1%
$26,336 Vol.
$26,336 Vol.
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
12%
58°F or higher
84%
58°F or higher 83.7%
56-57°F 12%
54-55°F 2.0%
52-53°F <1%
$26,336 Vol.
$26,336 Vol.
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
12%
58°F or higher
84%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Weather Service forecast consensus for Denver indicates a daytime high near 61°F on May 1 under partly cloudy skies with only a slight chance (20%) of lingering showers, positioning the 58°F or higher outcome at an 82.8% market-implied probability as traders anticipate standard diurnal heating at the city's 5,280-foot elevation following a recent cold frontal passage. Over the past 48 hours, showers and light snow in the nearby foothills cooled overnight lows to the upper 30s, but building high pressure aloft and light northerly winds favor a mild rebound above climatological May 1 norms of around 65°F. Model runs from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre show tight agreement on this trajectory, though any persistent cloud cover could trim peaks toward the mid-50s; hourly observations from Denver International Airport will refine outcomes this afternoon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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