Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 73°F or below in Austin on May 1 (98.6% implied probability), driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a maximum near 65°F amid persistent showers, possible thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall. This cool outlook stems from two cold fronts sweeping through Central Texas on April 28–29, replacing recent humid warmth with crisp northerly winds (NNE at 5–10 mph) and extensive cloud cover that suppresses daytime heating. Model ensembles from NOAA and European centers show strong agreement on these conditions, well below the climatological May 1 average of 83°F. Realistic challenges include unexpected frontal stalling or rapid clearing by midday, potentially allowing highs to nudge into the mid-70s, though overnight lows near 60°F limit upside potential; monitor NWS updates through tomorrow morning for refinements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 1 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 1 de mayo?
73°F o menos 98.7%
74-75°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
NUEVO
$31,104 Vol.
NUEVO
$31,104 Vol.
1 may 2026
73°F o menos
99%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F o más
<1%
73°F o menos 98.7%
74-75°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
NUEVO
$31,104 Vol.
NUEVO
$31,104 Vol.
1 may 2026
73°F o menos
$4,792 Vol.
99%
74-75°F
$8,431 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$6,341 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$4,210 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$707 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,153 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$803 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$753 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$808 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$892 Vol.
<1%
92°F o más
$2,213 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 73°F or below in Austin on May 1 (98.6% implied probability), driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a maximum near 65°F amid persistent showers, possible thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall. This cool outlook stems from two cold fronts sweeping through Central Texas on April 28–29, replacing recent humid warmth with crisp northerly winds (NNE at 5–10 mph) and extensive cloud cover that suppresses daytime heating. Model ensembles from NOAA and European centers show strong agreement on these conditions, well below the climatological May 1 average of 83°F. Realistic challenges include unexpected frontal stalling or rapid clearing by midday, potentially allowing highs to nudge into the mid-70s, though overnight lows near 60°F limit upside potential; monitor NWS updates through tomorrow morning for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$31,104Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 73°F or below in Austin on May 1 (98.6% implied probability), driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a maximum near 65°F amid persistent showers, possible thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall. This cool outlook stems from two cold fronts sweeping through Central Texas on April 28–29, replacing recent humid warmth with crisp northerly winds (NNE at 5–10 mph) and extensive cloud cover that suppresses daytime heating. Model ensembles from NOAA and European centers show strong agreement on these conditions, well below the climatological May 1 average of 83°F. Realistic challenges include unexpected frontal stalling or rapid clearing by midday, potentially allowing highs to nudge into the mid-70s, though overnight lows near 60°F limit upside potential; monitor NWS updates through tomorrow morning for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$31,104Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 73°F or below in Austin on May 1 (98.6% implied probability), driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a maximum near 65°F amid persistent showers, possible thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall. This cool outlook stems from two cold fronts sweeping through Central Texas on April 28–29, replacing recent humid warmth with crisp northerly winds (NNE at 5–10 mph) and extensive cloud cover that suppresses daytime heating. Model ensembles from NOAA and European centers show strong agreement on these conditions, well below the climatological May 1 average of 83°F. Realistic challenges include unexpected frontal stalling or rapid clearing by midday, potentially allowing highs to nudge into the mid-70s, though overnight lows near 60°F limit upside potential; monitor NWS updates through tomorrow morning for refinements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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