National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirm a maximum temperature of 71°F on April 30, 2026—the highest hourly reading of 71.1°F occurred late afternoon amid persistent cloud cover and precipitation from an active weather system under a Flood Watch. This direct measurement data, captured via automated surface observing system (ASOS), underpins the market's 100% implied probability for 73°F or below, reflecting trader consensus on verified real-time records well below seasonal norms (typically 78–80°F highs). Final resolution draws from Weather Underground's KAUS daily history, rounded to whole degrees. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare post hoc quality control revisions uncovering a sensor anomaly, though consistent multi-hour peaks make upward adjustments improbable. Traders await official summary release within 24–48 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on April 30?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 30?
73°F or below 100.0%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$42,492 Vol.
$42,492 Vol.
73°F or below
100%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
73°F or below 100.0%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$42,492 Vol.
$42,492 Vol.
73°F or below
100%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 28, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirm a maximum temperature of 71°F on April 30, 2026—the highest hourly reading of 71.1°F occurred late afternoon amid persistent cloud cover and precipitation from an active weather system under a Flood Watch. This direct measurement data, captured via automated surface observing system (ASOS), underpins the market's 100% implied probability for 73°F or below, reflecting trader consensus on verified real-time records well below seasonal norms (typically 78–80°F highs). Final resolution draws from Weather Underground's KAUS daily history, rounded to whole degrees. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare post hoc quality control revisions uncovering a sensor anomaly, though consistent multi-hour peaks make upward adjustments improbable. Traders await official summary release within 24–48 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes