Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 20°C in Amsterdam on April 30, 2026, backed by finalized observational data from the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the market's official resolution source via KNMI and Wunderground records—showing a peak of exactly 20°C under sunny skies, light easterly winds around 14 km/h, and low humidity (20-40%). This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast model consensus from ECMWF and UK Met Office, which projected near-20°C highs amid stable high-pressure conditions and no precipitation. Such positioning reflects strong evidence from quality-controlled measurements, with whole-degree Celsius precision; realistic challenges would require rare post-finalization revisions due to instrument errors or data discrepancies, deemed negligible by monitoring agencies.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 30?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 30?
20°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$65,745 Vol.
$65,745 Vol.
30 abr 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$65,745 Vol.
$65,745 Vol.
30 abr 2026
13°C or below
$2,255 Vol.
No
14°C
$3,286 Vol.
No
15°C
$4,026 Vol.
No
16°C
$2,727 Vol.
No
17°C
$7,446 Vol.
No
18°C
$5,578 Vol.
No
19°C
$8,820 Vol.
No
20°C
$12,894 Vol.
Yes
21°C
$8,354 Vol.
No
22°C
$6,624 Vol.
No
23°C or higher
$3,735 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 20°C in Amsterdam on April 30, 2026, backed by finalized observational data from the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the market's official resolution source via KNMI and Wunderground records—showing a peak of exactly 20°C under sunny skies, light easterly winds around 14 km/h, and low humidity (20-40%). This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast model consensus from ECMWF and UK Met Office, which projected near-20°C highs amid stable high-pressure conditions and no precipitation. Such positioning reflects strong evidence from quality-controlled measurements, with whole-degree Celsius precision; realistic challenges would require rare post-finalization revisions due to instrument errors or data discrepancies, deemed negligible by monitoring agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 28, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
Volumen
$65,745Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 2:19 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 20°C in Amsterdam on April 30, 2026, backed by finalized observational data from the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the market's official resolution source via KNMI and Wunderground records—showing a peak of exactly 20°C under sunny skies, light easterly winds around 14 km/h, and low humidity (20-40%). This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast model consensus from ECMWF and UK Met Office, which projected near-20°C highs amid stable high-pressure conditions and no precipitation. Such positioning reflects strong evidence from quality-controlled measurements, with whole-degree Celsius precision; realistic challenges would require rare post-finalization revisions due to instrument errors or data discrepancies, deemed negligible by monitoring agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$65,745Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 2:19 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 20°C in Amsterdam on April 30, 2026, backed by finalized observational data from the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the market's official resolution source via KNMI and Wunderground records—showing a peak of exactly 20°C under sunny skies, light easterly winds around 14 km/h, and low humidity (20-40%). This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast model consensus from ECMWF and UK Met Office, which projected near-20°C highs amid stable high-pressure conditions and no precipitation. Such positioning reflects strong evidence from quality-controlled measurements, with whole-degree Celsius precision; realistic challenges would require rare post-finalization revisions due to instrument errors or data discrepancies, deemed negligible by monitoring agencies.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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