Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Democratic win in Nevada's 2026 gubernatorial election at 60.5% versus 42% for Republicans, diverging from polling averages showing incumbent GOP Gov. Joe Lombardo holding a slim edge over Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford in a toss-up battleground state. Late-March Noble Predictive Insights surveys captured the race tightening to a 39%-38% Lombardo lead among registered voters, with 23% undecided signaling volatility ahead of June 9 primaries, where Lombardo dominates the GOP field and Ford leads Democrats. High undecideds and Nevada's swing-state dynamics, including key voting blocs in Las Vegas and Reno, underpin the competitive positioning, though no major catalysts emerged in April.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$21,530 Vol.
$21,530 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
61%
Republicano
42%
$21,530 Vol.
$21,530 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$5,588 Vol.
61%
Republicano
$15,942 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Democratic win in Nevada's 2026 gubernatorial election at 60.5% versus 42% for Republicans, diverging from polling averages showing incumbent GOP Gov. Joe Lombardo holding a slim edge over Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford in a toss-up battleground state. Late-March Noble Predictive Insights surveys captured the race tightening to a 39%-38% Lombardo lead among registered voters, with 23% undecided signaling volatility ahead of June 9 primaries, where Lombardo dominates the GOP field and Ford leads Democrats. High undecideds and Nevada's swing-state dynamics, including key voting blocs in Las Vegas and Reno, underpin the competitive positioning, though no major catalysts emerged in April.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volumen
$21,530Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Democratic win in Nevada's 2026 gubernatorial election at 60.5% versus 42% for Republicans, diverging from polling averages showing incumbent GOP Gov. Joe Lombardo holding a slim edge over Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford in a toss-up battleground state. Late-March Noble Predictive Insights surveys captured the race tightening to a 39%-38% Lombardo lead among registered voters, with 23% undecided signaling volatility ahead of June 9 primaries, where Lombardo dominates the GOP field and Ford leads Democrats. High undecideds and Nevada's swing-state dynamics, including key voting blocs in Las Vegas and Reno, underpin the competitive positioning, though no major catalysts emerged in April.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$21,530Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Democratic win in Nevada's 2026 gubernatorial election at 60.5% versus 42% for Republicans, diverging from polling averages showing incumbent GOP Gov. Joe Lombardo holding a slim edge over Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford in a toss-up battleground state. Late-March Noble Predictive Insights surveys captured the race tightening to a 39%-38% Lombardo lead among registered voters, with 23% undecided signaling volatility ahead of June 9 primaries, where Lombardo dominates the GOP field and Ford leads Democrats. High undecideds and Nevada's swing-state dynamics, including key voting blocs in Las Vegas and Reno, underpin the competitive positioning, though no major catalysts emerged in April.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes