Trader consensus favors Republicans at 54.5% over Democrats at 46% in the Texas Senate race, reflecting the state's Republican lean despite recent polls showing Democrat James Talarico leading both potential GOP nominees. Talarico, who won the March 3 Democratic primary over Rep. Jasmine Crockett, has surged in late April surveys like YouGov (42%-34% vs. Ken Paxton) and others from Texas Tribune/Guardian, driven by strong fundraising outpacing GOP rivals and appeal in suburban battlegrounds. The race stays tight ahead of the May 26 Republican primary runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Paxton, where mixed polls (Paxton up slightly in some, Cornyn with fundraising edge) highlight internal GOP divisions that could expose vulnerabilities; Paxton's populist base boosts turnout but risks general election moderation, while Cornyn's establishment ties offer incumbency stability. National midterm dynamics and Texas's historical GOP dominance in Senate races sustain the slim Republican edge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Texas
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Texas
$196,268 Vol.
$196,268 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
55%
Demócrata
46%
$196,268 Vol.
$196,268 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$109,180 Vol.
55%
Demócrata
$87,089 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors Republicans at 54.5% over Democrats at 46% in the Texas Senate race, reflecting the state's Republican lean despite recent polls showing Democrat James Talarico leading both potential GOP nominees. Talarico, who won the March 3 Democratic primary over Rep. Jasmine Crockett, has surged in late April surveys like YouGov (42%-34% vs. Ken Paxton) and others from Texas Tribune/Guardian, driven by strong fundraising outpacing GOP rivals and appeal in suburban battlegrounds. The race stays tight ahead of the May 26 Republican primary runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Paxton, where mixed polls (Paxton up slightly in some, Cornyn with fundraising edge) highlight internal GOP divisions that could expose vulnerabilities; Paxton's populist base boosts turnout but risks general election moderation, while Cornyn's establishment ties offer incumbency stability. National midterm dynamics and Texas's historical GOP dominance in Senate races sustain the slim Republican edge.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Volumen
$196,268Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors Republicans at 54.5% over Democrats at 46% in the Texas Senate race, reflecting the state's Republican lean despite recent polls showing Democrat James Talarico leading both potential GOP nominees. Talarico, who won the March 3 Democratic primary over Rep. Jasmine Crockett, has surged in late April surveys like YouGov (42%-34% vs. Ken Paxton) and others from Texas Tribune/Guardian, driven by strong fundraising outpacing GOP rivals and appeal in suburban battlegrounds. The race stays tight ahead of the May 26 Republican primary runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Paxton, where mixed polls (Paxton up slightly in some, Cornyn with fundraising edge) highlight internal GOP divisions that could expose vulnerabilities; Paxton's populist base boosts turnout but risks general election moderation, while Cornyn's establishment ties offer incumbency stability. National midterm dynamics and Texas's historical GOP dominance in Senate races sustain the slim Republican edge.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$196,268Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Republicans at 54.5% over Democrats at 46% in the Texas Senate race, reflecting the state's Republican lean despite recent polls showing Democrat James Talarico leading both potential GOP nominees. Talarico, who won the March 3 Democratic primary over Rep. Jasmine Crockett, has surged in late April surveys like YouGov (42%-34% vs. Ken Paxton) and others from Texas Tribune/Guardian, driven by strong fundraising outpacing GOP rivals and appeal in suburban battlegrounds. The race stays tight ahead of the May 26 Republican primary runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Paxton, where mixed polls (Paxton up slightly in some, Cornyn with fundraising edge) highlight internal GOP divisions that could expose vulnerabilities; Paxton's populist base boosts turnout but risks general election moderation, while Cornyn's establishment ties offer incumbency stability. National midterm dynamics and Texas's historical GOP dominance in Senate races sustain the slim Republican edge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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