Keir Starmer's Labour government, secured with a landslide majority in the July 2024 general election, faces no obligation to call a snap election until 2029, but trader sentiment hinges on deteriorating polls showing Reform UK surging amid opposition fragmentation. April 2026 surveys project competitive scenarios like a Reform minority government at 36% implied odds, driven by public backlash over economic stagnation and policy U-turns. Petitions earlier this year demanding Parliament's dissolution exceeded 70,000 signatures, underscoring discontent, yet Starmer shows no intent to dissolve. Upcoming local elections on May 7 across England, Scotland, and Wales serve as a critical barometer, potentially shifting probabilities on whether the PM or opposition forces an early vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Elecciones en el Reino Unido convocadas por...?
¿Elecciones en el Reino Unido convocadas por...?
$745,895 Vol.
30 jun 2026
30 de junio de 2026
5%
$745,895 Vol.
30 de junio de 2026
$20,171 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Keir Starmer's Labour government, secured with a landslide majority in the July 2024 general election, faces no obligation to call a snap election until 2029, but trader sentiment hinges on deteriorating polls showing Reform UK surging amid opposition fragmentation. April 2026 surveys project competitive scenarios like a Reform minority government at 36% implied odds, driven by public backlash over economic stagnation and policy U-turns. Petitions earlier this year demanding Parliament's dissolution exceeded 70,000 signatures, underscoring discontent, yet Starmer shows no intent to dissolve. Upcoming local elections on May 7 across England, Scotland, and Wales serve as a critical barometer, potentially shifting probabilities on whether the PM or opposition forces an early vote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2025, 11:37 AM ET
Volumen
$745,895Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2025, 11:37 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Keir Starmer's Labour government, secured with a landslide majority in the July 2024 general election, faces no obligation to call a snap election until 2029, but trader sentiment hinges on deteriorating polls showing Reform UK surging amid opposition fragmentation. April 2026 surveys project competitive scenarios like a Reform minority government at 36% implied odds, driven by public backlash over economic stagnation and policy U-turns. Petitions earlier this year demanding Parliament's dissolution exceeded 70,000 signatures, underscoring discontent, yet Starmer shows no intent to dissolve. Upcoming local elections on May 7 across England, Scotland, and Wales serve as a critical barometer, potentially shifting probabilities on whether the PM or opposition forces an early vote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$745,895Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2025, 11:37 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Keir Starmer's Labour government, secured with a landslide majority in the July 2024 general election, faces no obligation to call a snap election until 2029, but trader sentiment hinges on deteriorating polls showing Reform UK surging amid opposition fragmentation. April 2026 surveys project competitive scenarios like a Reform minority government at 36% implied odds, driven by public backlash over economic stagnation and policy U-turns. Petitions earlier this year demanding Parliament's dissolution exceeded 70,000 signatures, underscoring discontent, yet Starmer shows no intent to dissolve. Upcoming local elections on May 7 across England, Scotland, and Wales serve as a critical barometer, potentially shifting probabilities on whether the PM or opposition forces an early vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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